Friday, September 30, 2011

abcnews:The Terrorist Notches on Obama’s Belt

The Terrorist Notches on Obama’s Belt

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/09/the-terrorist-notches-on-obamas-belt/

The list of senior terrorists killed during the Obama presidency is fairly extensive.

There’s Osama bin Laden, of course, killed in May.

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) leader Anwar al-Awlaki as of today.

Earlier this month officials confirmed that al Qaeda’s chief of Pakistan operations, Abu Hafs al-Shahri, was killed in Waziristan, Pakistan.

In August, ‘Atiyah ‘Abd al-Rahman, the deputy leader of al Qaeda was killed.

In June, one of the group’s most dangerous commanders, Ilyas Kashmiri, was killed in Pakistan. In Yemen that same month, AQAP senior operatives Ammar al-Wa’ili, Abu Ali al-Harithi, and Ali Saleh Farhan were killed. In Somalia, Al-Qa’ida in East Africa (AQEA) senior leader Harun Fazul was killed.

Administration officials also herald the recent U.S./Pakistani joint arrest of Younis al-Mauritani in Quetta.

Going back to August 2009, Tehrik e-Taliban Pakistan leader Baitullah Mahsud was killed in Pakistan.

In September of that month, Jemayah Islamiya operational planner Noordin Muhammad Top was killed in Indonesia, and AQEA planner Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan was killed in Somalia.

Then in December 2009 in Pakistan, al Qaeda operational commanders Saleh al-Somali and ‘Abdallah Sa’id were killed.

In February 2010, in Pakistan, Taliban deputy and military commander Abdul Ghani Beradar was captured; Haqqani network commander Muhammad Haqqani was killed; and Lashkar-e Jhangvi leader Qari Zafar was killed.

In March 2010, al Qaeda operative Hussein al-Yemeni was killed in Pakistan, while senior Jemayah Islamiya operative Dulmatin - accused of being the mastermind behind the 2002 Bali bombings – was killed during a raid in Indonesia.

In April 2010, al Qaeda in Iraq leaders Abu Ayyub al-Masri and Abu Omar al-Baghdadi were killed.

In May, al Qaeda’s number three commander, Sheik Saeed al-Masri was killed.

In June 2010 in Pakistan, al Qaeda commander Hamza al-Jawfi was killed.

Remember when Rudy Giuliani warned that electing Barack Obama would mean that the U.S. played defense, not offense, against the terrorists?

If this is defense, what does offense look like?

-Jake Tapper

DEFENSENEWS:Iran Mass Producing New Anti-Ship Missiles

Iran Mass Producing New Anti-Ship Missiles

http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=5642659

AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
Published: 7 Feb 2011 09:07

TEHRAN - Iran is mass producing a new ballistic missile that can travel at more than three times the speed of sound and hit targets on the high seas, top commanders said on Feb. 7.

Cmdr. Mohammad Ali Jafari, who heads the elite military force, the Revolutionary Guards, said the missile - named "Persian Gulf" - had a range of 300 kilometers.


"Iran is mass producing a smart ballistic missile for sea targets with a speed three times more than the speed of sound," state news agency IRNA quoted Jafari as saying about the new missile.

He said the missile was "undetectable and can't be neutralized by enemies," without specifying the name. "It has very high precision in destroying targets," Jafari added.

"As the enemy's threats will likely come from the sea, air and by missiles, the Guards have been equipped with capabilities to neutralize the enemy's advanced technology," he said, according to another Iranian news agency, ISNA.

Iran's missile and space programs have sparked concern in the West that such advanced technologies, combined with the nuclear know-how which the nation is acquiring, may enable Tehran to produce an atomic weapon.

Tehran denies its nuclear program has military aims.

The new missile can be fired "from surface ballistically and can hit enemy vessels from a high altitude," Amir Ali Hajizadeh, head of the Guards' air force wing told Fars news agency.

"The missile is named Persian Gulf ... its warhead will carry 650 kilograms of explosives," he said, adding that the missile was powered by solid fuel and designed by the Guards.

Footage on state television showed the missile being fired atop a mobile launcher from a desert terrain.

The announcement of the new missile comes as Iran holds celebrations to mark the 32nd anniversary of its Islamic revolution that toppled the U.S.-backed shah.

Iran uses the run-up to the Feb. 11 anniversary to tout its scientific and technological achievements.

In a separate function, Iran unveiled four new home-built satellites and engines of a rocket.

Meanwhile the head of naval Guards' naval forces, Ali Fadavi, issued a warning that Iran will hit back if it came under attack.

"The Islamic republic has the ability of blocking the Strait of Hormuz if threatened," Fadavi told Mehr news agency.

"We will deliver a very firm response if any powers do the slightest thing to hurt the security of the region."

Iranian military officials regularly warn of blocking the Strait of Hormuz - the route through which 40 percent of world's oil supply by sea passes - in case Iran comes under attack.

The U.S. and Israel have never ruled out the option of military strikes against Iran to stop its nuclear program.

UPI:Iran sends cruise missiles to its navy

Iran sends cruise missiles to its navy

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2011/09/28/Iran-sends-cruise-missiles-to-its-navy/UPI-13011317217158/

TEHRAN, Sept. 28 (UPI) -- Cruise missiles with a range of 124 miles were delivered to the Iranian navy to bolster the country's national defense, the military said.

The Iranian Defense Ministry said it supplied "large numbers" of anti-ship cruise missiles to the Iranian navy and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the semiofficial Fars News Agency reports.

Iranian military officials noted, during a ceremony commemorating the delivery, that the cruise missiles were manufactured domestically.

Iranian Defense Minister Ahmad Vahidi, the Mehr News Agency in Iran reported, said his country was working on a radar system to counter incoming cruise missile threats. An anti-missile system, he added, is being designed with the aim of retargeting enemy missiles.

Tehran had wanted Russia's S-300 missile defense system to protect its nuclear installations from a possible aerial attack by the Israelis, who bombed an Iraqi nuclear facility in the 1980s.

A 2005 contract signed by Moscow and Tehran outlined terms of the sale of the S-300 missile defense system. The missile system boasts a range of around 100 miles and can engage several targets at once.

However, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev signed an executive order last year prohibiting the sale of military equipment to Iran.


Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2011/09/28/Iran-sends-cruise-missiles-to-its-navy/UPI-13011317217158/#ixzz1ZQ1KtgCz

STATESMAN:Countering the growing missile threat Owen Graham, The Heritage Foundation

Countering the growing missile threat

Owen Graham, The Heritage Foundation

http://www.statesman.com/opinion/countering-the-growing-missile-threat-1878939.html

Sunday, Sept. 25, 2011

America faces a growing missile threat from abroad along with the prospect of huge defense cuts. Something's wrong with this equation.

Speakers at the annual Space and Missile Defense Conference in Huntsville, Ala., outlined the extent of that threat, and they agreed that robust missile defenses are crucial. But with the tight fiscal environment and defense programs on the chopping block, this task will be more difficult. And America isn't adequately protected as it is.

Gen. Patrick O'Reilly, director of the Missile Defense Agency, said more than 32 countries now possess ballistic missiles. He raised concerns about the proliferation of anti-ship missiles and an increase in ballistic-missile production facilities.

Anti-ship ballistic missiles, or ASBMs, pose a significant threat to Navy warships and to international freighters traveling through strategic "chokepoints" such as the Strait of Hormuz. An ASBM moves considerably faster than a conventional anti-ship missile, and it is far tougher to kill. They can be fired from stationary sites or road-mobile units miles away from shipping lanes. Road-mobile missile units are difficult to detect, even by satellites.

O'Reilly said ASBMs had been "tested" and "ships had been sunk." He was almost certainly referring to Iran's successful test of an ASBM — a Fateh-110 with improved guidance. It marks a step forward for Iran, yet lacks the sophistication of China's new ASBM, the Dongfeng-21D (DF-21D).

The Pentagon's latest annual report on China's military progress says the DF-21D is meant to prevent the United States from operating effectively in the western Pacific. The report also says China is improving its strategic missile forces and may be developing a new multi-warhead "road-mobile ICBM." Could this help explain China's increasing assertiveness in regional disputes?

Then, of course, there's the potential missile proliferation arising from upheaval in the Middle East. Uzi Rubin, an expert on Iran's ballistic missile program, said hundreds, if not thousands, of missiles are in Iran, Syria, Libya, Egypt and Yemen. And, he warned, Venezuela — not far from the United States — could join that list. Iran and other rogue states, meanwhile, are always working to develop longer-range capabilities.

Another threat we can't afford to ignore is an electromagnetic pulse attack. An EMP is produced by a nuclear weapon detonated at a high altitude. This underscores the need for missile defense — a ballistic missile is the most effective means of delivering an EMP weapon. A successful attack could decimate America's electrical infrastructure and cause a catastrophe such as a large urban blackout — or worse.

A missile delivered to produce an EMP wouldn't have to be launched from 5,000 miles away. Short-range missile can be placed on cargo vessels off the U.S. coast to launch a missile at the homeland (the "Scud-in-the-bucket" scenario).

In 2004, a congressionally mandated commission found that an EMP attack is "one of a small number of threats that has the potential to hold our society seriously at risk and might result in defeat of our military forces." Five other commissions and major government studies have independently concurred. Despite this, there has been a bipartisan failure to address this threat — and virtual silence from the Obama administration.

A Scud-in-the-bucket EMP strike could be followed by cruise missile attack. A cruise missile could be fitted with a biological or chemical spray unit. If these missiles have terrain-mapping capabilities, they can be guided around like an unmanned aerial vehicle.

Then there's Russia, with whom the U.S. has supposedly "reset" relations. It just unveiled the Club-K, a container-based cruise missile for sale on the international market. This cruise missile is hidden in a "shipping container" that disguises the transporter-erecter-launcher for the Club-K missile.

Iran and other state actors are potential customers. It could also fall into the hands of terrorists.

The U.S. needs a comprehensive missile-defense system to counter these existing threats and stay ahead of emerging ones. The administration's approach of funding "just enough" missile defense may be too little, too late, especially if further cuts lay ahead.

When it comes to defense, it's better to prepare than repair. Let's turn this wrong-headed equation around.

Graham is research and operations coordinator in the Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at the Heritage Foundation.

HARTMAN.ORG:A Response to Palestinian Unilateralism: A Time to Lead

A Response to Palestinian Unilateralism: A Time to Lead[LINK OFF OF HAARETZ]

http://hartman.org.il/Blogs_View.asp?Article_Id=798&Cat_Id=273&Cat_Type=Blogs

It’s beginning to feel the same. Instead of enabling newfound normalcy as Herzl had hoped, the reality of Israel seems to fit the same old pattern to which we have become so accustomed throughout our exile – us and them, alienation, aloneness, and danger. True, the players have changed, and some of those who were our greatest enemies are now our friends. But a new generation has arisen that is more than willing to take their place – Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic terrorists, and now even the Turkish government and some of the popular voices emanating out of Turkey and Egypt are fitting into a pattern which we know so well.
In some of our circles sadness is coupled with the relief of at least returning to familiar turf, accompanied at times by, “I told you so.” We know this world and this reality and at least we can stop pretending that it is different, stop pretending that we can do anything to change this reality, which seems to be a major part of our peoples’ destiny.
It is through these same lenses that many of us are viewing the unilateral Palestinian bid for statehood at the UN. From the birthplace of Jewish sovereignty and the international authority that recognized the rights and legitimacy of a homeland for the Jewish people, the UN now provides a permanent consensus united against Israel’s interests, and even legitimacy.
The fundamental challenge we face today as a people is how to respond, how to live within this existential reality which we know so well. Because it is so akin to our exilic past do we respond as a people in exile or as a people with sovereignty? And if it is the latter, how do we give expression to our sovereignty and power?
For some, it being a reaffirmation of the hatred over which we have no control, the experience of helplessness breeds an anger which legitimizes passivity. Since we are not responsible for our predicament, no actions are called for other than reinforcing our lines of defense, be it with the help of the Israeli military or the US Congress. If our sovereign power is to be used then it is punitively, through unilateral sanctions against the Palestinian Authority if they see their unilateral move through to the end.
The preponderance of hatred and imminence of danger gives this position not only legitimacy but a presence in the hearts of so many of us Jews. We make, however, a profound error when we stop here. Whether a reality was avoidable or not is one question. What you do about it is a second one, and herein lays the great difference. While we can view the reality of Israel through the familiar lenses of the exilic narrative, we are no long a people in exile, and the gift of sovereignty and power provides new opportunities and resources to which we can avail ourselves. The question is whether we not only see our reality as part of the exilic narrative, but whether we still see ourselves as part of this same narrative.
It would have been wonderful if all of our conflicts were resolved at the negotiating table and unilateralism viewed as the affront that it is to friendship and true partnership. But alas that has not been our destiny. So now what do we do? A sovereign people begins to lead. A sovereign people fights for its destiny. A sovereign people never gives up hope, while at the same time, never allowing itself the naivete bred by those who either deny reality or forget our past.
Let’s take the Palestinian resolution as a case in point. It might be voted upon and passed with an overwhelming majority. Or it might be set aside as a result of last-minute efforts by our ally the United States and our friends in Europe. It doesn’t really matter anymore. It is time for this fact to penetrate into the consciousness of Israel and its supporters. Whether tabled or postponed, the Palestinian move at the UN has placed the reality of Palestinian statehood versus Israel’s occupation on center stage, and refocused the attention of the world on the status of our negotiations for the foreseeable future. In many ways, if the Palestinians are convinced to postpone their move, it will be at the cost of even greater pressure on Israel to prevent unilateralism through actions at the negotiating table.
“They” may truly hate us. But we have not lost the means to navigate nimbly in dangerous waters. We seem to have lost our will. We seem content with expending our efforts to ignore the inevitability of Palestinian statehood and to the convening of Jewish assemblies in which we talk to ourselves and bemoan the injustice. It is time to reawaken the consciousness of sovereignty and lead. It is time to declare that Palestinian statehood is also an Israeli interest as long as it can be accompanied by peace and security. It is time to recognize that this Palestinian state will require significant compromises and even dangers when it comes to our aspired notion of defensible borders. It is time for us to once and for all admit and unequivocally declare that the fulfillment of our rights to all the land of Israel cannot be fully expressed if we are to allow the Palestinian peoples’ rights to be respected as well. Not only must we have no desire to expand settlements but we must recognize and declare that many of those settlements - in particular those not connected to Jerusalem or located in one of the three settlement blocs - have no future and that Israel’s political, moral and Jewish interests lie in dismantling them.
The truth be told, none of us know if such declarations or policies will be helpful. The Palestinians have to agree to end the conflict, to recognize Israel as the homeland of the Jewish people, to fight terror and hatred both in their streets and in their textbooks and to once and for all relinquish their aspirations to return to Israel’s pre-1967 borders.
Uncertainty, however, is no excuse for passivity, but the impetus for action. To recognize this is to recognize that while many things are the same, many are not. While our enemies may not have changed, we have. It is time to stop counting all the injustices, enumerating all that which is unfair, telling over and again to anyone who can hear that it is not our fault. It is time for us to take responsibility for our destiny, a destiny not necessarily defined by that which is forced upon us but which will reflect who we want to be. It is time to bring to an end the defeatist mourning for and incessant talking about what should have and could have been. It is time to stop the self-defeating and paralyzing fear and reconnect to the reality of Israel and the gift of sovereignty and to claim our rightful place at the negotiating table – the place of the leader.
Also published on Ynetnews

HAARETZ:Turkey joins international criticism of Israeli construction in Jerusalem Turkish FM calls Gilo construction plans 'a flagrant violation of in

Turkey joins international criticism of Israeli construction in Jerusalem

Turkish FM calls Gilo construction plans 'a flagrant violation of international law'; says settlement building justifies Palestinian UN statehood bid.

http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/turkey-joins-international-criticism-of-israeli-construction-in-jerusalem-1.387306

Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu on Thursday sharply criticized Israel's plans to construct 1,100 new homes in the Gilo neighborhood of Jerusalem, calling those plans "a flagrant violation of international law", Army Radio reported.

Gilo is located on land annexed by Israel after it took control of East Jerusalem in the 1967 Six Day War.

"The plan raises doubt about Israel's sincerity and true intention to solve the conflict," Davutoglu said.

Davutoglu added that continued settlement construction proved that the Palestinian attempt to gain United Nations recognition of statehood was both justified and timely.

The United States, Europe and Arab states have said that the announcement of new construction in Gilo would complicate efforts to renew peace talks and defuse the crisis over the Palestinian UN statehood bid.

Britain and the European Union called on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to reverse the decision, and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said new settlement building would be "counter-productive."

On Wednesday, Netanyahu rejected criticism of the planned construction plans.

"Gilo is not a settlement nor an outpost. It is a neighborhood in the very heart of Jerusalem about five minutes from the center of town," Netanyahu's spokesman Mark Regev said.

In every peace plan on the table in the past 18 years Gilo "stays part of Jerusalem and therefore this planning decision in no way contradicts" the current Israel government's desire for peace based on two states for the two peoples, Regev added.
--------------------------

HAARETZ:Egypt slams Israel over new construction in East Jerusalem Foreign minister says plan to build 1,100 homes in Jerusalem's contested Gilo neigh

Egypt slams Israel over new construction in East Jerusalem

Foreign minister says plan to build 1,100 homes in Jerusalem's contested Gilo neighborhood represents 'Israeli defiance to international community.'

http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/egypt-slams-israel-over-new-construction-in-east-jerusalem-1.387212

Egypt's Foreign Minister Mohamed Amr on Wednesday condemned Israel's plan to construct 1,100 homes in Israeli-occupied East Jerusalem.

"This illegal measure represents a new and glaring Israeli defiance to the international community, which endeavors to restore credibility to the peace process," Amr, now on a visit to the US, said in a statement released by the Egyptian Foreign Ministry.

"Egypt is really worried over the steady rise in the pace of settlements construction, especially in the past two months when the building of more than 6,000 homes has been approved," he added.

Egypt was the first Arab country to sign a peace treaty with Israel in 1979. But their relations have recently suffered their worst crisis.

An Israeli district committee on Tuesday approved construction of 1,100 homes in East Jerusalem. The announcement of the possible approval of construction in Gilo comes amid U.S. attempts to push Israel and the Palestinians back to the negotiations table following a Palestinian statehood bid at the United Nations. A key Palestinian condition ahead of resumed talks has been the complete freeze of all Israeli settlement construction.

In 2009, U.S. President Barack Obama, referring to a plan to expand construction in Gilo, said new Gilo homes could complicate efforts by his administration to relaunch peace talks and embitter the Palestinians.

Obama said at the time that additional settlement building doesn't make Israel safer. He said such moves make it harder to achieve peace in the region, and embitters the Palestinians in a dangerous way.

HAARETZ:There was no political tsunami for Israel after all It turns out that the tsunami predicted to hit Israel in the month of September went the w

There was no political tsunami for Israel after all

It turns out that the tsunami predicted to hit Israel in the month of September went the way of so many other predictions that have been made about the Middle East in recent years.


http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/opinion/there-was-no-political-tsunami-for-israel-after-all-1.387126

The month of September is almost gone and Israel does not lie devastated like north-eastern Japan after the tsunami that hit that region in the wake of a 9.0 magnitude earthquake last March. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas submitted an application to the United Nations that Palestine be recognized as a state and admitted to the UN. Hamas, as was expected, objected to this move, and President Barack Obama said what any sensible person should have known - that bypassing direct negotiations by applying to the UN was not going to advance peace between Israel and the Palestinians. It turns out that the tsunami predicted to hit Israel in the month of September went the way of so many other predictions that have been made about the Middle East in recent years.

The hero of the drama that played out at the UN was undoubtedly Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but not because he meddled in U.S. internal politics, encouraging the Republicans to criticize Barack Obama's policy toward Israel - he knows better than to attempt to do that (the Republicans, and even many Democrats, need no outside encouragement to fault Obama on this subject ). Netanyahu is the hero because he did not allow himself to be spooked by the panic-stricken warnings coming from all directions that a tsunami was approaching and that he should advance "daring" initiatives before the tsunami hit Israel. Everybody knows what was meant by "daring" initiatives - announcements of concession that Israel was prepared to make to the Palestinians before the start of negotiations; that he would freeze construction in the West Bank; or, better yet, that he would uproot settlements there, or that he would agree that the April 1949 armistice lines with Jordan ("the 1967 lines" ) would be the basis for negotiations with Abbas. He kept a cool head, and did none of that.

There was another actor in this drama at the United Nations. Little known, but possibly important - Anthony Weiner, the Democratic Congressman, representing the ninth New York Congressional district. It was Weiner who was compelled to resign his seat for posting indecent photos of himself on the Internet, forcing an early election in this traditionally Democratic district with a large Jewish population. Ed Koch, the former mayor of New York City and a life-long Democrat, called on voters to choose the Republicans this time and express their disapproval of Obama's policy on Israel. The Republican candidate, Bob Turner, won.

Add to that the criticism voiced by the leading Republican presidential candidates, Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, on the same subject. Romney said Obama's suggestion that Israeli-Palestinian negotiations should be based on the "1967 lines" was "throwing Israel under the bus." All this must have been noted in the White House, preparing for elections a little more than a year away, or else Obama did some serious reading on Jewish and Zionist history during his recent vacation in Martha's Vineyard in preparation for his speech at the UN. In his speech he did not mention settlements, nor the "1967 lines", but rather emphasized that "Israel is surrounded by neighbors that have waged repeated wars against it," and that "Israeli citizens have been killed by rockets fired at their houses and suicide bombs on their buses ... these are the facts", he concluded, "they cannot be denied."

This time, the Israeli left did not like Obama's speech. They were probably also disappointed to find that Israel was not completely isolated, as they claimed, with the whole world aligned against it. Who knows if mythological Micronesia supports Israel's position? But we do know that Stephen Harper, the Prime Minister of Canada - no Third World country this - firmly stands by Israel. And Donald Tusk, the Prime Minister of Poland - not only not a Third World country but presently claiming presidency of the Council of the European Union - is not prepared to back the "1967 lines" as the basis for Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. The list does not end there. And maybe Micronesia does close the list of countries that refuse to align themselves with the Muslim bloc at the United Nations.

So will all those who predicted that a tsunami would hit Israel in the month of September please stand.

NYTIMES:Afghanistan’s Leaders Sour on Pakistan and Peace Talks

Afghanistan’s Leaders Sour on Pakistan and Peace Talks

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/30/world/asia/afghanistan-sours-on-pakistan-and-taliban-talks.html?_r=1&ref=world

KABUL, Afghanistan — Afghanistan’s president and other senior leaders announced Thursday that they were rethinking the country’s relationship with Pakistan and its negotiations with the Taliban because talks had yielded so little.

As a result, the leaders said, they planned to work closely with the United States, Europe and India to plan the country’s future.

The shift in Afghanistan’s policies emerged in a statement released by the presidential palace on Thursday after a meeting the night before of senior government officials, including the two vice presidents, the national security adviser and several former military commanders who are close advisers to President Hamid Karzai and who fought to push the Russians out of the country in the 1980s.

“Despite making repeated attempts in the past three years, including sending several letters to the Taliban to open negotiations in order to bring peace and stability to the country, our leaders, scholars, influential figures, elders, women and children, old and young are being martyred,” the statement said, referring to a string of assassinations this year, most recently the killing of Burhanuddin Rabbani, the chairman of the peace council.

While the peace talks have yielded little, they had provided Afghanistan and the United States with the hope that there could be a negotiated end to the 10-year-old war. The statement did not rule out the possibility of future talks, but suggested that there was little prospect that they would continue.

With regard to Pakistan, the tone was similarly frustrated.

“Despite three years of talks, coming and going, good intentions and efforts, made by Afghanistan for peace and the initiation of good relations with Pakistan, the Pakistani government has not taken any measures for closing down its terrorist safe havens nor prevented the training and equipping of terrorists on its soil,” the statement said.

One measure of Afghan frustration was the statement’s specific mention of the prospect of a strategic partnership with India, in addition to the United States and Europe. Pakistan considers India its archenemy, and by mentioning it, Afghanistan appeared to be positioning itself in opposition to Pakistan, despite their longtime relationship.

Over the past several months, Afghanistan appeared to have had a reconciliation with Pakistan, and the two countries had been meeting regularly, bilaterally and also with American representatives present. The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that Afghanistan was planning to suspend the trilateral talks indefinitely.

It remained unclear how far Afghanistan wished to go in pushing away Pakistan and what approach it would prefer. “The question is peace with whom?” the statement said.

foxnews:U.S. Born Terror Boss Anwar al-Awlaki Killed

U.S. Born Terror Boss Anwar al-Awlaki Killed

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2011/09/30/us-born-terror-boss-anwar-al-awlaki-killed/

The U.S.-born terror mastermind Anwar al-Awlaki has been killed, Fox News confirms.

Awlaki was killed with several other suspected al Qaeda operatives, the Yemeni defense ministry said. The statement did not elaborate on the circumstances of Awlaki's death.

However, tribal sources told AFP that Awlaki was killed in an air strike which hit two vehicles in Marib province, an al Qaeda stronghold in eastern Yemen early Friday.

The 40-year-old, who was born in New Mexico, was linked to the 2009 Christmas Day "underwear bomber" plot -- a narrowly foiled bid to blow up a passenger jet approaching Detroit.

He was also linked to the failed Times Square bomb attempt in May last year and the November 2009 Fort Hood shooting, in which 13 people were killed by a gunman at the U.S. Army base.

Awlaki was a major target for the U.S. following the Obama administration's authorization last year of CIA and military attempts to kill him.

His death follows an unsuccessful attempt on his life on May 5. In that attack, U.S. aircraft followed and fired missiles at a truck in which the terror boss was traveling.

The attack came just days after the successful raid on a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan which killed al Qaeda leader Usama bin Laden.

Thursday, September 29, 2011

CNN:The Afghan Taliban says it supports Haqqani, not Pakistan

The Afghan Taliban says it supports Haqqani, not Pakistan

http://edition.cnn.com/2011/09/29/world/asia/afghanistan-taliban/?hpt=ias_c2

The Afghan Taliban has rejected U.S. allegations that the Haqqani terrorist network is supported by Pakistan, in an email CNN obtained Wednesday.

"Our bases are not in Pakistan nor do we reside outside of our country in insecure conditions," the email sent to Afghan and Pakistani journalists said. "All military and civilian activities in (Afghanistan) are our own initiatives and our own actions."

The response came less than a week after Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Mike Mullen said that the Haqqani network, which has carried out a number of high-profile terror attacks in the Afghan capital Kabul and elsewhere, acted "as a veritable arm of Pakistan's intelligence."

Jalaluddin Haqqani, the founder of the militant group, "only receives orders from their leader, Mullah Omar," according to the Taliban email that also said the U.S. allegations are "baseless."

Meanwhile, Pakistan continued to deny Mullen's charges.

"Very few countries have been ravaged by the monster of terrorism as brutally as Pakistan," Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar said in an address this week to the U.N. General Assembly in New York. "It is Pakistan's firm determination not to allow any space on its territory for militants and terrorists."

Washington's allegations have strained ties between the two countries, which have been in an uneasy alliance in the war against terror since 2001.

The relationship between Pakistani intelligence and the Haqqanis goes back to the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan when Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and the United States supported the mujahedeen resistance. Intelligence officials believe Pakistan still regards the Haqqanis as an important tool in countering Indian influence in Afghanistan and helping shape any future peace process in line with Islamabad's priorities. With an estimated 10,000 to 15,000 fighters, the Haqqanis' close relationship with both the Afghan and Pakistan Taliban makes them an important player in the region.

Major General Athar Abbas, a spokesman for the Directorate of Inter-Services Intelligence, acknowledged the service has had contacts with the Haqqanis.

"Any intelligence agency would like to maintain contact with whatever opposition group, whatever terrorist organization ... for some positive outcome," he told CNN in a telephone interview this month.

However, those contacts do not mean that the ISI supports or endorses the organization, he added.

Western counterterrorism officials believe that contrary to Pakistan's assertions, the Haqqanis rely on Pakistani territory -- specifically North Waziristan and the Khurram agency -- to organize, resupply and raise funds.

The Haqqanis are widely regarded as one of the most effective militant groups in Afghanistan. Western intelligence officials believe the Haqqanis were involved in the assassination this month of the Chairman of Afghanistan's High Peace Council, Burhanuddin Rabbani, and an attack on the Intercontinental Hotel in Kabul in June. Rabbani himself alleged that the group that attacked the hotel had been in phone contact with people in the town of Miranshah in the Pakistani territory of North Waziristan, long regarded as a stronghold of the Haqqani network.

DAILYTOREADOR:Aldawsari hearing set for Thursday

Aldawsari hearing set for Thursday

http://www.dailytoreador.com/news/article_7f7bfcbc-e97f-11e0-93bc-001a4bcf6878.html

A court hearing for Khalid Ali-M Aldawsari, a former Texas Tech student charged with attempted use of a weapon of mass destruction who was arrested in February, is set for 9 a.m. Thursday at the Lubbock Federal Courthouse.

The hearing is for U.S. District Judge Sam Cummings to consider a defense motion challenging the use of certain evidence in the upcoming trial. The defense also plans to challenge the use of classified intelligence by the U.S. government, but Cummings said they must wait until after Nov. 2 to make the motion.

Aldawsari’s defense team currently consists of Rod Hobson of Lubbock, Dan Cogdell and Paul Doyle of Houston.

Cummings issued a gag order on Aldawsari’s case in March, preventing Aldawsari, the prosecution, the defense, the FBI and other public officials from speaking to the media about the hearing or trial.

According to a sealed affidavit by Lubbock FBI agent Michael Orndorff, Aldawsari was arrested on Feb. 23 for attempting to construct an IED, or improvised explosive device.

The affidavit states that Aldawsari was born on April 24, 1990. Aldawsari has citizenship from Saudi Arabia. However, U.S. immigration records state that he was lawfully admitted into the United States via an F-1 student visa.

Aldawsari entered the United States in September 2008 and transferred to Texas Tech in August 2009 as a chemical engineering major. He then transferred to South Plains College in Levelland in January 2011 as a business major due to failing grades.

Carolina Biological Supply in Burlington, N.C., first notified FBI agents on Feb. 1 to report a suspicious purchase of phenol by Aldawsari. Phenol is defined as a toxic chemical with a variety of uses, including making the explosive TNP.

According to immigration records, Aldawsari’s university classes were funded by a Saudi-based industrial corporation, which paid for his education and living expenses.

When the FBI conducted a search of Aldawsari’s apartment on Feb. 14, they found a notebook with Arabic writing in it. The police report states the journal confirmed Aldawsari had been planning to commit a terrorist attack in the United States for years.

An entry of the notebook was translated as, “I excelled in my studies in high school in order to take advantage of an opportunity for a scholarship to America, offered by the Saudi government and its companies, so I could (apply). (The sponsoring corporation’s) financial scholarship is the largest, which will help tremendously in providing me with the support I need for jihad.”

Aldawsari’s journal also explained that the events of Sept. 11 caused a big change in his thinking, and how he was inspired by the speeches of Osama bin Laden.

“And now, after mastering the English language, learning how to build explosives and continuous planning to target the infidel Americans, it is time for jihad,” he wrote.

According to the report, FBI agents used legally authorized electronic surveillance to discover that Aldawsari sent emails to himself regarding research on potential targets, explosives and explosive components.

The electronic surveillance also showed Aldawsari was researching a number of locations to carry out his attack, including dams in California and Colorado and the Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq, where U.S. military members are stationed.

Aldawsari also considered targeting Dallas nightclubs and even former President George W. Bush’s house in Dallas, which he labeled as the “Tyrant’s House.”

Aldawsari’s trial is scheduled to begin Jan. 9, 2012.

LUBBOCKONLINE:Terror suspect's case progressing through court under a gag order As Lubbock and the nation remember the day the country was attacked by

Terror suspect's case progressing through court under a gag order

As Lubbock and the nation remember the day the country was attacked by terrorists, an accused terror suspect sits in the Lubbock County Detention Center, awaiting trial.

September 10, 2011

http://lubbockonline.com/local-news/2011-09-10/terror-suspects-case-progressing-through-court-under-gag-order

As Lubbock and the nation remember the day the country was attacked by terrorists, an accused terror suspect sits in the Lubbock County Detention Center, awaiting trial.

Khalid Ali-M Aldawsari recently had two additions to his legal team, bringing nationally renowned attorneys Dan Cogdell and Paul H. Doyle to the defense of the Saudi national.

Cogdell of Houston has a stable of high-profile cases, including representing Sheila Khanek, a former Enron accountant in the first criminal trial of the bankrupt energy company’s scandal. According to his website, Cogdell has also represented a former Branch Davidian who survived the government assault of the group’s Waco-based headquarters, among others.

Doyle of Houston is a former prosecutor for the Harris County District Attorney’s Office, where he was a member of the Vehicular Assault Team, and on the Special Crimes Bureau, dealing with narcotics and murder cases.

A criminal complaint filed in February outlined an FBI investigation into Aldawsari’s activity, including jihadist rhetoric and research into bomb-making, that led to his Feb. 23 arrest.

Attorneys and all parties involved in the case are forbidden to talk with the news media, according to a March 9 order signed by U.S. District Judge Sam R. Cummings.

However, the court docket shows a hearing is scheduled Sept. 29, 9 a.m., in the federal courthouse in Lubbock for Cummings to consider a defense motion to suppress some evidence held by the government.

On Sept. 5, attorneys for Aldawsari filed a request for a change of trial site, saying their client cannot receive a fair and impartial trial in the U.S. Northern District of Texas. In the change of venue pleading, Aldawsari’s attorneys also attached a 64-question survey for potential jurors. Questions on the document range from family background information to inquiries about trips to the Middle East or service in the Persian Gulf.

The government has not objected to the motion.

Aldawsari came to federal attention after trying to have a large quantity of a suspicious chemical shipped to a Lubbock freight address, according to a sworn affidavit by an FBI agent filed in support of the warrant for Aldawsari’s arrest.

Subsequent electronic surveillance led to two secret searches of Aldawsari’s Lubbock apartment, where authorities found some of the ingredients and supplies necessary to build and detonate a bomb, according to the affidavit.

Authorities also found potentially incriminating emails and journal entries in which he mentioned planning attacks, according to the FBI investigation.

He is scheduled to go to trial Jan. 9.



MSNBC:US 'threat' of military action unites Pakistan Accusations that the country is helping Afghan insurgents triggers backlash

US 'threat' of military action unites Pakistan

Accusations that the country is helping Afghan insurgents triggers backlash

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44712105/ns/world_news-south_and_central_asia/

U.S. accusations that Pakistan is supporting Afghan insurgents have triggered a nationalist backlash and whipped up media fears of an American invasion, drowning out any discussion over the army's long use of jihadi groups as deadly proxies in the region.

The reaction shows the problem facing the United States as it presses Pakistan for action: Strong statements in Washington provoke a negative public response that makes it more difficult for the army to act against the militants — even if it decided it was in the country's interest to do so.

Pakistan's mostly conservative populace is deeply suspicious of U.S. intentions a decade after Washington forged an alliance with Islamabad. Many people here believe the U.S. wants to break up Pakistan and take its arsenal of nuclear weapons, and America is very unpopular throughout the country.

By contrast, Pakistanis lack unity against Islamic militants. Politicians and media commentators are often ambiguous in their criticism of the Pakistani Taliban, despite its carrying out near weekly bombings in Pakistan over the past four years.

One small private television channel has aired an advertisement that features images of Adm. Mike Mullen, America's top military officer, and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta along with scenes of the Pakistani army fighting and raising the country's flag.

Each time the Americans appear, a shrill voice sings: "Enemies, you have challenged a nation which has a growing knowledge of the Quran and the support from Allah. Our task in this world is to eliminate the name of the killers!"

Mullen's comments on Capitol Hill last week set off the storm.

He said the Haqqani network, the most deadly and organized force fighting American troops in Afghanistan, was a "veritable arm" of Pakistan's premier spy agency, the strongest public statement yet by U.S. officials on Pakistan's long suspected duplicity.

He and other U.S. officials suggested that the U.S. would use any means necessary to defend itself. That raised speculation here that America might deploy troops in Pakistan's North Waziristan territory, the Afghan border region where the Haqqanis are based.

Most analysts view that scenario as highly unlikely because of the risks it entails for U.S. interests in the region. But it has not stopped right-wing politicians and retired generals that are well represented on TV talk shows from speculating on the threat of American boots on Pakistani soil.

On Thursday, the leaders of the country's feuding political parties will put aside their differences to sit under one roof to discuss the issue. In announcing the meeting, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani said the lawmakers will discuss "the security situation in the wake of threats emanating from outside the country."

The Sunni Ittehad Council, an organization representing the country's Barelvi sect, often referred to as the most moderate among Pakistani Muslims, issued a statement saying it was obligatory on all Muslims to wage jihad against the United States if it attacked Pakistan.

Story: Pakistanis tied to 2007 border ambush on Americans

"The Pakistani government and the armed forces should start preparing to counter any possible American attack as Islamic law suggests 'keeping the horses ready' to counter any sort of foreign aggression," the statement said.

There have been a few small street protests since Mullen's comments, but nothing major.

In some respects, the situation mirrors the atmosphere after the May 2 American helicopter raid on Osama bin Laden, which was carried out without the knowledge of the Pakistani army. There was outrage then over the infringement of the country's sovereignty by the U.S., but little on how bin Laden had been living in the army town of Abbottabad for so long.

Story: Pakistan frees bin Laden bodyguard

Now, the focus is on Pakistan's public humiliation at the hands of a supposed ally — and the threat of American action.

There appears to have been little debate on whether Pakistan is right to allow the Haqqani network free reign in parts of the country. Nor has there been much discussion of Pakistan's historical use of militant proxies in India. This is all the more striking because the Haqqani network and other militants are allied, at least ideologically, to the Pakistani Taliban, who carry out attacks inside Pakistan.

The dominant right-wing narrative in Pakistan following Mullen's comments has been that the United States is losing the war in Afghanistan and wants to pin the blame on Islamabad. The threat posed by the Haqqani network is seen as exaggerated, and tackling them now is thought not to be in Pakistan's interest.

The anger this week at America coincided with the visit of Chinese Public Security Minister Meng Jianzhu, allowing the media and politicians to peddle another populist trope: that Beijing will be able to replace the United States as a source of funds if and when Pakistan chooses to sever its ties with Washington.

"American allegations and threats have extremely endangered our country's security and sovereignty. It is high time ... we should consult our friendly neighbors and other countries out of this region and get their support," said an editorial in the right-wing mass circulation paper, Nawa-i-Waqt.

Most analysts say this hope is misplaced, noting that Beijing shares international concerns about Pakistan as a breeding ground for terrorism and has shown little sign it wants to prop up the government. The hope also fails to address how China would replace American influence on institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.

Anti-American sentiment in Pakistan was already rife and growing, following the shooting deaths of two Pakistanis by CIA operatives in Lahore in January and the raid on bin Laden. Both events were portrayed here as further evidence of the malign intentions of the United States.

The Pakistani media tend to focus on the supposed American threat because that's what Pakistanis want to read and hear about, said Cyril Almedia, a liberal political analyst and columnist. But he said there were signs that those who wanted to see the alliance with the United States break down may be disappointed, noting that the army — which receives billions from the United States in aid — had been relatively muted in its reaction.

"Emotions are running high, but there are indications the military is performing a delicate balancing act," Almedia said. "On the one hand, it is trying to give a response that satisfies a paranoid, conservative population and the rank-and-file, yet also a feeling that this is not the moment to cause a complete rupture with the United States."

THEATLANTIC:Manhattan's Real Anti-Aircraft Battery: Stinger Missiles

Manhattan's Real Anti-Aircraft Battery: Stinger Missiles

http://www.theatlanticwire.com/national/2011/09/manhattans-real-anti-aircraft-battery-stinger-missiles/43062/

Adam Martin Sep 28, 2011 256 Views Comment (1)

On Sunday, New York City learned during police commissioner Ray Kelly's 60 Minutes interview that his police department had the capacity to shoot down an aircraft. This turned out to be a somewhat far-fetched claim, involving a 50-caliber sniper rifle mounted in a helicopter that couldn't have prevented the 9/11 attacks. But on Wednesday, Journalist Murray Weiss pointed out in his column on DNAinfo that the Secret Service keeps a much more serious anti-aircraft battery on the island: Shoulder-launched, heat-seeking Stinger missiles that most certainly could take down a hijacked jetliner. Weiss says he learned about the weapons cache while researching a book on 9/11.

In a book I wrote called The Man Who Warned America, I reported that after the Towers fell, several law enforcement agencies that kept clandestine offices there showed up to help in the rescue efforts, but also searched for their secret stashes of documents and weapons.

“The Drug Enforcement Administration wanted to find the records of cases they had built against drug dealers, while CIA operatives came to the crumbled towers to get into secure safes that had held stacks of classified information and documents in a phony office they had set up," I wrote.

"The most closely guarded secret in the towers was kept by The Secret Service, which was concerned about a Stinger missile, which was used to protect the president in the event of an attack when he visited New York.”

Of course, shooting down a jetliner over Manhattan wouldn't exactly avoid catastrophe, so it's just as well the Stingers are to be used only to protect the president, who generally keeps his visits brief.

Want to add to this story? Let us know in comments or send an email to the author at amartin@theatlantic.com. You can share ideas for stories on the Open Wire.

MAGHREBIA:Algeria launches counter-terror air drills

Algeria launches counter-terror air drills

http://www.magharebia.com/cocoon/awi/xhtml1/en_GB/features/awi/features/2011/09/28/feature-02

Algerian authorities are working to step up counter-terrorism operations, launching a series of exercises in recent days designed to boost preparedness.

The majority of the drills aim to thwart terrorist attacks using civilian airliners, in addition to preventing potential attacks on airport installations. Officials fear that aircraft could be attacked by short-range missiles that are usually used by terrorist groups to target security headquarters.

Ferhat Abbas Airport in Jijel, eastern Algeria, came under attack Sunday (September 25th) by terrorists who used rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs) and other weapons, causing damage to the airport tarmac and one military helicopter. Echorouk reported on Monday that security officials had advance information on the plot, allowing authorities to foil the assault.

Algeria's security agencies issued instructions a few days ago to security authorities to step up control around airports and to tighten security following reports that the terrorist groups that shelled Djanet airport last year were planning similar attacks. The warning came amid fears the terrorists could use weapons acquired from Libya.

Meanwhile, Algeria took part in the fifth aerial drill "Snake Eagle 11" that was held September 21st by Spain's air force. The drill was in the framework of the 2011 work plan that was established by the member states of the '5+5' defence initiative. The drills aim to prevent the use of civilian planes for terrorist attacks.

The Algerian army said in a statement that the aim of the drill was to advance air defence co-operation among the ten states taking part, namely the five Maghreb states plus France, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Malta. In addition, the army said the exercises would boost data and intelligence sharing on terrorist threats.

Officials also plan a dry run of an aerial terrorist threat. According to the statement, the scenario envisions a cargo aircraft coming from France and Spain and entering regional airspace above international waters, simulating "a non-military aerial threat".

These military drills, which Algeria took part for the fifth time, are mainly aimed at "improving the combat capabilities of the Algerian air forces in the face of any terrorist threat using civilian planes", according to Taher Benthamer, a retired military officer.

According to Boualem Zehouri, an official in charge of surveillance and control at Houari Boumediene Airport, the on-going training programmes for Algerian security personnel have helped reduce the terrorist threat.

"Algiers International Airport is now classified as one of the top airports that provide maximum safety and security as shown by the testimony of security delegations that inspected the airport," Zehouri said.

He added that "American and European security missions visited Algiers airport twice in recent years and gave positive evaluations on the seriousness of security authorities to deal with terrorist threats that aim to turn civilian aircraft into weapons."

Authorities are also working with foreign counterparts to compile a list of suspects "with the aim of thwarting any attempts by suspicious elements to infiltrate to planes that take off from Algerian airports", Zehouri said.

CBSNEWS:AP Interview: Iraq-US training deal likely

AP Interview: Iraq-US training deal likely

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/09/27/ap/business/main20112440.shtml

(AP) UNITED NATIONS — With a year-end deadline for the pullout of U.S. troops looming, Iraq's foreign minister said Tuesday he believes there will be an agreement with the United States to train his country's military and talks are already under way in Baghdad.

"We're looking for October for these talks to move forward," Hoshyar Zebari said in an Associated Press interview.

The Obama administration is considering 3,000 to 5,000 troops for an Iraqi training mission, according to Washington officials familiar with the discussions who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release the information. One Iraqi lawmaker close to Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue, said Baghdad may ask only for about 2,500 forces.

"I think we will get an agreement on training," Zebari said, but he would not discuss numbers and stressed that training could take place both outside and inside Iraq.

"How many trainers will remain in Iraq is not that important," he said. "It's the commitment that is very important."

Regardless, Zebari said, there will be no new status of forces or security agreement with the Americans.

"The political conditions in Iraq have changed. That's why it's difficult," he said.

Any move that leaves U.S. forces in the country past the end of the year has been vigorously opposed by anti-American Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, whose Mahdi Army militia was responsible for much of the violence in the country when it was consumed in a near civil war in 2005 and 2006. Al-Sadr has threatened a resumption of violence if the U.S. troops remain into 2012.

"We reject even the staying of trainers," Sadrist lawmaker Mushraq Naji said last week. "Our stance is clear and that all U.S. troops should leave. Negotiations to keep them here run against the will of the Iraqi people."

Zebari said the government has support from most political leaders for the talks with the Americans on training mission arrangements because the country doesn't have the military expertise to protect its shores and oil terminals, control its airspace and air defenses, "and even the land forces need" training.

But he said the government must line up support in parliament for the training mission, as it did to win approval for the current U.S. status of forces agreement.

The foreign minister was interviewed hours after officials in Baghdad announced that Iraq had signed an estimated $3 billion deal to buy 18 fighter jets from the United States. The F-16s aren't expected to arrive in Iraq until next fall at the earliest, and more likely not until 2013 which means U.S. forces could still be asked to patrol the country's skies.

Zebari said the importance of the deal is "for the world to know that Iraq is an ally of the United States in the region."

Asked about protecting Iraq's airspace before the planes arrive and Iraqi pilots are trained, Zebari said the no-fly zone in northern Iraq in 1991-92 was controlled by just six American officers who were capable "of deterring the wrath" of Saddam Hussein's army.

He said Iraqi airspace can also be protected by technology, and from U.S. airbases in the region. That was done when the Americans were ensuring adherence to the no-fly zones in northern and southern Iraq from bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and Turkey, he said.

In the wide-ranging interview, Zebari said the decision on whether some U.S. troops should be kept in disputed areas in northern Iraq "will depend on the outcome of the Iraqi government talks on the training issues."

He also said "there is a new urgency" by all parties to get a law passed quickly on the distribution of Iraq's oil wealth among the federal government and the country's religious and ethnic populations. The dispute especially centers on a three-way impasse over political control of the Kirkuk area among the country's Kurds, Arabs and Turkomen. Kirkuk sits above Iraq's main northern oil fields.

Various proposals are being presented to parliament, Zebari said, adding that the one the Kurds and the federal government agree on is the 2007 version of the law in which the government would control most oil and gas from existing fields but future discoveries would be managed jointly by Baghdad and the region.

Looking at the Mideast today, Zebari said, "I personally strongly believe that the Arab Spring would not have been possible with Saddam Hussein in power."

He said Iraq has a lot to offer to countries like Tunisia, Egypt and Libya that are going through political transformation after their uprisings against authoritarian rulers.

"Each and every one of them has to go through the same stages that we've been through," he said. "And we see the tensions, we see the difficulties of embracing a new order. ... Our system, our democracy is not tidy, it's not perfect, it's clumsy, it's uneven and so on. But really the structures are there to resolve problems."

CNN:The Arab Spring’s unintended consequences

The Arab Spring’s unintended consequences

http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/27/the-arab-spring%E2%80%99s-unintended-consequences/?hpt=wo_r1

By Christopher R. Hill, Project Syndicate

Yemen’s renewed violence is just the latest sign that the Arab Spring may be joining the list of those historical contagions that, in the fullness of time, did not turn out well. Indeed, its effect may be reaching countries in ways that we did not expect.

Israel, in particular, can be forgiven for curbing its enthusiasm over the effect of the Arab Spring on its own security. On August 19, Israel absorbed an attack in the Negev Desert, through an increasingly dangerous border with Egypt, which left eight civilians dead. Just a few weeks later, a mob attacked Israel’s embassy in Cairo, forcing the evacuation of Israeli diplomats and creating a major row with Egypt’s fragile interim government. In Syria, nobody is prepared to predict the outcome of what is turning into a bloody battle with sectarian overtones. And in Libya, while getting rid of Moammar Gadhafi is a good first step, democracy and the rule of law are, to be optimistic, years away.

Meanwhile in Shia-led Iraq, the black sheep of the Arab world, attention has focused on the question of a new Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) with the United States to replace the one that expires on December 31. Negotiations are proceeding on a post-2011 agreement to ensure some kind of US military presence that contributes to Iraq’s continued (relative) political and social stability and economic growth. After all, Iraq now truly has something to protect: 11 oil contracts, with more to come, hold out the possibility that within a decade, oil production could be on par with that of Saudi Arabia.

This year has seen an increase in violence – Sunni attacks on the government and on Shia civilians, and, more rarely, but also deadly, Shia extremist attacks on US soldiers. Indeed, while the latter is rare compared to the former, such attacks have made this year one of the costliest years for US troops since the “surge” of 2007-2008.

Read: Gaza shrugs.

Many Middle East observers see Iranian support behind the attacks by Shia militant groups. The Iran-Iraq border – like many borders in the region – is long and porous. The weapons confiscated from militant groups are very often Iranian-made, and recently exported. Shia militants, supplied by Iran and egged on by Iranian propaganda, are likely unconvinced that US forces are indeed leaving.

But what about the more frequent Sunni attacks? Where is their support coming from?

Think-tank pundits, obsessed with the permutations of issues surrounding US forces’ deployment in the world’s trouble spots, have concluded that the rising Sunni violence, too, is related to the US troop withdrawal. Sunni groups are supposedly trying to prove that they still matter, that they have been neither defeated nor deterred by US troops.

Americans, not unlike many people outside the Middle East, regard the struggle in Iraq as one pitting those who supported democracy against those who somehow supported the dictatorship (“dead-enders,” as then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld described them at a Pentagon press conference). But, for many people in the region, the Iraq war involved something else: the transfer of power in what had been a Sunni-led country to the Shia majority. Shia-ruled Iraq has not been well received in the Sunni Arab world. Indeed, some extreme Sunnis in the Arab world consider Shia power a mortal threat.

The 1,300-year-old Sunni/Shia divide was not what the US had in mind when it invaded in 2003. After all, such sectarian identities are not the sort of basis for politics that a twenty-first-century democracy should embrace. The US had high hopes that identities would be forged on some other, more secular ground. It is hard to say what that ground was supposed to be – the welfare state? Taxation? Regulation? – but somehow, in the US mindset, secular political identities would emerge, and Iraq would be welcomed and perhaps emulated in the Arab world.

Of course, that did not happen, and when Sunni and Shia alike came to understand de-Baathification as vengeance against the Sunni, the insurgency was on.

Today, the insurgency, violent as it can be from time to time, is not supported by anything close to a majority of Iraqis, if it ever was. Insurgents hold no land or cities, unlike before, and, while many Sunnis chafe at life under a prime minister who leads a Shia-based political party, they have for the most part accepted the new reality and have focused on getting as much as they can from it. Can this be said of all Sunnis in the rest of the Arab world?

Read: India's wounded state.

Indeed, in the rest of the Arab Middle East, where Sunni governments or monarchs prevail, the unprecedented “Shiafication” of Iraq has never gone down well. Many countries in the region have refused to open embassies in Baghdad, often citing “security concerns” as the reason.

The Saudis have been particularly unimpressed by progress in Shia-led Iraq to date, and have taken the lead in sounding the alarm about the danger that Iran poses to the Arab world’s only Shia-led country. Indeed, one wonders how much more progress Iraq would have made had the Saudis had spent more time and money supporting Iraq rather than denouncing it.

During the height of the Sunni insurrection, US forces devoted considerable efforts to closing borders and otherwise seeking to monitor and interdict elicit money flows from extremist groups in Sunni states to Iraq. Perhaps, given the ongoing turmoil in the Arab world, security services that had previously – though sometimes reluctantly – shut down these money flows are now distracted by other, more immediate, problems. It might be worth checking again.

The views expressed in this article are solely those of Christopher R. Hill. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011.

guardian:Mind-reading car could drive you round the bend

Mind-reading car could drive you round the bend

Nissan collaborates with Swiss scientists to develop interface between man and machine, saying it will help road safety

http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2011/sep/28/nissan-car-reads-drivers-mind


One of the world's largest motor manufacturers is working with scientists based in Switzerland to design a car that can read its driver's mind and predict his or her next move.

The collaboration, between Nissan and the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), is intended to balance the necessities of road safety with demands for personal transport.

Scientists at the EPFL have already developed brain-machine interface (BMI) systems that allow wheelchair users to manoeuvre their chairs by thought transference. Their next step will be finding a way to incorporate that technology into the way motorists interact with their cars.

If the endeavour proves successful, the vehicles of the future may be able to prepare themselves for a left or right turn – choosing the correct speed and positioning – by gauging that their drivers are thinking about making such a turn.

However, although BMI technology is well established, the levels of human concentration needed to make it work are extremely high, so the research team is working on systems that will use statistical analysis to predict a driver's next move and to "evaluate a driver's cognitive state relevant to the driving environment".

By measuring brain activity, monitoring patterns of eye movement and scanning the environment around the car, the team thinks the car will be able to predict what a driver is planning to do and help him or her complete the manoeuvre safely.

Lucian Gheorghe, who joined Nissan's mobility research centre after graduating in computer science and artificial intelligence from Kobe University, Japan, said he believed the joint project could benefit both scientists and motorists.

"Brain wave analysis has helped me understand driver burden in order to reduce driver stress," he said. "During our collaboration with EPFL, I believe we will not only be able to contribute to the scientific community but we will also find engineering solutions that will bring us close to providing easy access to personal mobility for everyone."

Professor José del R Millán, who is leading the project, said the idea behind the research was a simple one: "to blend driver and vehicle intelligence together in such a way that eliminates conflicts between them, leading to a safer motoring environment".

latimes:U.S.: Republican plan would cut aid to Palestinians

U.S.: Republican plan would cut aid to Palestinians

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2011/09/us-house-republicans-palestinians-aid.html

REPORTING FROM WASHINGTON -- U.S. House Republican leaders signaled this week that they are serious about cutting off aid to the Palestinian Authority if its leaders continue their quest for U.N. recognition as a sovereign state.

The Republican leaders of the House Appropriations Committee this week released a preliminary 2012 spending plan that would prohibit aid to the Palestinian Authority unless the State Department certifies that the Palestinians aren’t seeking to gain full membership in the United Nations.

The Republicans, led by Rep. Harold Rogers of Kentucky, believe that the U.N. move is aimed at gaining unfair leverage in stalled peace negotiations with the Israelis.

Some leaders of both parties in Congress have threatened a cutoff of more than $500 million in aid, but it had been interpreted as a means of deterring Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas from filing a formal application, a step he took Friday.

“Until now there was speculation that this was just a threat,” said Dylan Williams, legislative director for J Street, a lobbying group that opposes a cutoff. “This is a serious step in the direction of actually cutting off aid.”

Administration officials and other critics contend that cutting off the aid would undermine the authority’s leadership, strengthen extremists and potentially touch off violence.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

CNN:Senator: Protect airliners from shoulder-fired missiles

After CNN's Ben Wedeman reported on a looted weapons warehouse near Tripoli in early September, Homeland Security Secretary Napolitano said the threat had not been raised to her.

"If it becomes a risk, it will be raised to me. And as of today, it has not been raised to me. That doesn't mean that tomorrow it won't be raised to me. But as of today, it has not been raised to me," Napolitano said.

Senator: Protect airliners from shoulder-fired missiles

http://www.cnn.com/2011/09/27/politics/airline-protection/

Washington (CNN) -- Fresh concerns that thousands of highly portable anti-aircraft missiles may be missing in Libya are prompting a new call to protect American jetliners from attack.

The fears that terrorists may have access to the Libyan missiles are revving up a decades-long debate over the vulnerability of American jetliners.

Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-California, wants to outfit hundreds of wide-body airliners with technology to protect the planes from terrorist attack. On Tuesday, she sent a letter asking the Departments of Defense and Homeland Security to establish a joint program to evaluate anti-missile devices and work toward their deployment.

"The risk to commercial aircraft posed by shoulder-fired missiles has long been acknowledged by the national security community," Boxer said in her letter to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano. "Recent reporting of unaccounted for missiles in Libya is yet another reminder of this threat."

Cost estimates to outfit 500 airliners are $1 million per aircraft, adding up to $6 billion over the next 20 years.

One technology under consideration uses special sensors mounted on an airliner that would identify a threat, track an incoming missile and use a laser to trick the missile into changing course and missing the plane.

Boxer said in her letter that her goal is to protect more than 2 billion passengers over the coming 20 years. And she said additional work needs to be done on developing the reliability of the electronic countermeasures and how to resolve how the system can be exported overseas.

The concern has arisen anew since reports that some of Libya's 20,000 man-portable air defense systems, or MANPADS, have gone astray in the midst of the revolution and the toppling of the regime of Moammar Gadhafi. And many tens of thousands more exist around the world.

A State Department report in July called the proliferation of these weapons a threat to both national security and passenger air travel.

Some of these portable weapons can be carried and launched by one person, while others may require several people. They can be as light as 28 pounds and easily hidden in the trunk of an automobile.

"Because MANPADS are easy to transport, conceal, and use -- and because a single successful attack against an airliner would have serious consequences for the international civilian aviation industry -- they are particularly attractive weapons to terrorists and criminals," the State Department report said. "Keeping MANPADS out of their hands is thus a major priority for the U.S. government."

After CNN's Ben Wedeman reported on a looted weapons warehouse near Tripoli in early September, Homeland Security Secretary Napolitano said the threat had not been raised to her.

"If it becomes a risk, it will be raised to me. And as of today, it has not been raised to me. That doesn't mean that tomorrow it won't be raised to me. But as of today, it has not been raised to me," Napolitano said.

Napolitano said the Transportation Security Administration already certifies international airports where planes leave for U.S. destinations after a MANPAD evaluation.

Previous discussions about equipping airlines got caught up in disagreement about who should finance the cost of furnishing airlines with the system: airlines or the government. Airlines opposed mandating the systems because the companies did not feel that the threat warranted the cost, according to an industry representative who would speak only on background. Aircraft are vulnerable to the missiles for only a relatively brief portion of the flight: takeoffs and landings.

Airlines also raised concerns about the weight of the system and effects on revenues, as well as delays and disruptions to flights that would arise from mechanical problems from the system.

White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Tuesday that the U.S. was working with NATO and Libya's Transitional National Council on the proliferation is of conventional weapons from there.

"The potential for conventional weapons proliferation from Libya has been of concern for many years," Carney said. "Since the beginning of the crisis, we have been actively engaged with our allies and partners to support Libya's effort to secure all conventional weapons stockpiles, including recovery, control and disposal of shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles."

The State Department says MANPADS have hit 40 civilian airliners since 1975, resulting in 28 crashes and 800 deaths.

Although Libya has ratcheted up concerns about portable anti-aircraft missiles, many observers say it is just a reminder of a larger global problem.

"The black market cost of MANPADS can vary widely, ranging from as little as a few hundred dollars to over one hundred thousand dollars, depending on the model and its condition," the State Department report says. "Given the relatively low cost of some of these systems, there is a heightened risk for acquisition by terrorists or other non-state actors."

And since 2003, the State Department says, the U.S. has managed to buy, or locate, and destroy more than 32,500 MANPADS in more than 30 countries.

POLITICO:CIA, Pentagon fight to keep Osama bin Laden death photos secret

CIA, Pentagon fight to keep Osama bin Laden death photos secret

http://www.politico.com/blogs/joshgerstein/0911/CIA_Pentagon_fight_to_keep_Bin_Laden_photos_secret.html

Photos and videos of Al Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden after he was killed in May in a U.S. military/Central Intelligence Agency raid in Pakistan should not be released publicly because they would reveal military and intelligence secrets and could lead to violence against U.S. personnel, the Obama administration argued in papers filed in federal court in Washington late Monday night.

The new filings from the Justice Department provide scant details about the imagery, but CIA National Clandestine Service Director John Bennett wrote that the CIA has "52 unique....photographs and/or videorecordings" depicting bin Laden during or after the May operation. Bennett did not break down the tally further, but said all the imagery is classified "TOP SECRET," meaning that disclosure of the material could lead to "exceptionally grave damage" to U.S. national security.

"All of the responsive records are the product of a highly sensitive, overseas operation that was conducted under the direction of the CIA," Bennett wrote, arguing that disclosure of the information would reveal "intelligence activities and/or methods." He called the photos "gruesome," and said they depict the gunshot wound to bin Laden's head. It is unclear whether his descriptions referred to all the images and videos, or just some of them.

The motion for summary judgment and supporting declarations ask U.S. District Court Judge James Boasberg to rule for the government in a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit brought in May by Judicial Watch. The conservative watchdog group sued the Defense Department after it failed to comply with the group's request for the bin Laden imagery. The suit was broadened in June to name the CIA as a defendant.

While the Justice Department's motion is backed by declarations from high ranking officials at the Pentagon and CIA, the government lawyers make clear that their marching orders come from the top. Near its outset, the brief quotes President Barack Obama's comments on the issue during a "60 Minutes" interview in May.

"It is important for us to make sure that very graphic photos of somebody who was shot in the head are not floating around as an incitement to additional violence. As a propaganda tool. You know, that’s not who we are. You know, we don’t trot out this stuff as trophies," Obama said. "We don’t need to spike the football."

The brief includes Obama's claim that then-Defense Secretary Robert Gates, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and intelligence officials "all" agreed that releasing the images would "create some national security risk." The legal papers do not mention that before Obama made the decision to keep the images secret, then-CIA director Leon Panetta said there was no "question that ultimately a photograph would be presented to the public." (Panetta has since become defense secretary.)

The government's filings Monday were also accompanied by a declaration from Admiral William McRaven, who heads the U.S. Special Operations Command and commands the Navy SEALs who carried out the bin Laden raid. McRaven argues that release of the imagery "could reasonably be expected to...make the special operations unit that participated in this operation and its members more readily identifiable in the future." Portions of McRaven's arguments were classified and filed under seal.

In another declaration, the head of operations for the military's joint staff, Lt. Gen. Robert Neller, argued that release of the bin Laden death imagery could lead to violence against U.S. military personnel in Afghanistan, Afghan civilians and police, Afghans working with the U.S., and U.S. citizens worldwide. Neller also said releasing the images could "aid the recruitment efforts...of insurgent elements" in Afghanistan, "weaken the new Democratic government of Afghanistan, and add extremist pressures on several of our regional allies."

The legal fight over the bin Laden photos has produced some disagreement among FOIA experts. Some expect the government to prevail in the case without much difficulty because courts are traditionally very deferential to the executive branch in litigation involving national security, particularly FOIA cases. However, a few FOIA specialists have said aspects of the government's arguments against disclosure is weaker than in other cases, chiefly because of reliance on the harms that stem in essence from the public relations impact the imagery could have.

Judicial Watch was not the only organization to request the photos and video. Several news organizations, including the Associated Press and POLITICO, also did so.

The government's new filings appear to offer some openings for attack on the part of those pressing for disclosure.

First, while the arguments for withholding imagery from the raid and its immediate aftermath are legally strong, those for withholding the images of bin Laden's burial seem substantially weaker. It's hard to see how that event implicates any national security secrets. Second, the CIA's claim that none of the images or videos can be released even in part seems conclusory. A heavily-edited video of bin Laden's burial, for example, might or might not not be very interesting, but for that same reason it seems less likely to produce the negative consequences the government warns about.

The government filings claim that the Defense Department found no imagery responsive to the requests. Sources previously told POLITICO that at least some of the images were on a secure, classified interagency network accessible to individuals at various agencies. The new court filings don't make clear who took the photos and video. If they were in posession of military personnel at the time the FOIA requests were made or thereafter, some of the arguments for disclosure could be strengthened. However, it's also possible that the courts may accept that the entire operation is an intelligence activity that the CIA is entitled to keep secret or disclose as it sees fit.

Judicial Watch is scheduled to respond to the government's filings by October 24. Boasberg, an Obama appointee confirmed to the district court in March of this year, is unlikely to rule before December.

For those who want to dive further into the details: the government's motion is posted here, Bennett's declaration is posted here, McRaven's redacted declaration is posted here, and Neller's is here.