Saturday, June 30, 2012

HAARETZ:Survey: 62% of U.S. Jews would reelect Obama, 4% say Israel is most important issue

According to the survey, 70% of the Jewish Americans are either registered democrats or leaning toward the Democratic party, and 29% identify themselves as Republicans or leaning toward the Republican party.



Survey: 62% of U.S. Jews would reelect Obama, 4% say Israel is most important issue

Survey shows most Jewish Americans favor diplomacy for peace over military action; 73% of respondents say Netanyahu represents Jewish values.

Apr.03, 2012

http://www.haaretz.com/jewish-world/survey-62-of-u-s-jews-would-reelect-obama-4-say-israel-is-most-important-issue-1.422405

Sixty-two percent of Jewish American voters would like to see U.S. President Barack Obama reelected in November, and only 4% define Israel as the most important issue influencing their vote.

The results emerged as part of a survey conducted by the Public Religion Research Institute based in Washington, D.C.

According to the survey, while only 62% of Jewish voters in the U.S. would like to reelect Obama, 30% would prefer to see a Republican candidate take the upcoming elections.

In the 2008 elections, 78% of Jewish Americans voted for Obama, but, according to the survey's authors, the figure reflects statistics measured at a similar point in the campaign that year. The current figure also shows that Jewish support for Obama is much higher than that of the general American population (44% for Obama and 37% for a Republican candidate).

Of the Jews who voted for Obama in 2008, 86% would like to see him reelected, while 7% said they have switched sides and would prefer to see a Republican candidate win this time round. Fifty-eight percent of the Jewish voters approve of Obama's performance as president, 34% disapprove.

Thirty-six percent said they are "not sure" about their opinion of how Obama is handling the Arab-Israeli conflict.

Sixty-seven percent of Jewish voters hold "mostly" or "very" unfavorable opinions of Mitt Romney, but Jewish Republican supporters prefer the former Massachusetts Governor by a large margin of 58%, compared to his rivals. Trailing far behind are former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum with 15%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich with 13%, and Congressman Ron Paul, with 12%.

Economy over Israel

The survey gives a decisive answer as to how important Israel is for the Jewish voters this time round: Not very. Only 4% define it as "the most important issue" influencing their vote. The economy is the top issue for 51%, while for 15% of respondents, the most important issue is the "growing gap between the rich and poor." Nearly two-thirds of the American Jews think the government should do more to reduce this gap, and 81% support raising taxes on Americans earning more than 1 million dollars a year. Ten percent were more concerned about health care, 7% for the federal deficit. Only 4% are worried about national security issues and Israel, 2% are most concerned about Iran, and 1% the environment, immigration, same-sex marriage and abortion.

While "Birthright" trips to Israel might make participants more connected to the Jewish state, the survey showed that, overall, Israel is far from being the issue that defines Jewish identity among Americans. When asked which qualities are most important to their Jewish identity, 46% mentioned a commitment to social equality, 20% spoke of their support for Israel, and 17% cited religious observance. To the question of what influenced their political beliefs, 87% mentioned the Holocaust, 85% the "opportunities for economic success" in America, and 66% referred to being a religious minority in America.

Being Jewish was "very important" or "most important" for 42% of the Jewish Americans, while for 29% it was "somewhat important" and for 29% it was "not too important" or not important at all.

Being Jewish was "very important" to 73% of synagogue-goers, but only to 22% of those who do not belong to an established Jewish community. It was important for 64% of Conservative Jews, 39% of Reform Jews, and 10% of Jews who do not affiliate themselves with any denomination.

As for Middle East politics and the perception of U.S.-Israeli relations, while

While Obama Administration officials like to say military cooperation between the U.S. and Israel is closer than ever before, only 54% of Jewish Americans perceive the relationship is the same as always, while 37% think the ties "are worse", and only 7% think they are better than in the past.

Fifty-three percent of Jewish Americans said they would support the establishment of a Palestinian state, while 42% would oppose it. Sixty-three percent think that, in general, diplomacy is the best way to ensure peace, versus 24% who prefer military action. But when it comes to Iran, 59% of Jewish Americans think the U.S. should take military action to stop Iran's nuclear program should sanctions fail, while 37% oppose it.

The vast majority of Jewish Americans define Israel's major problems in terms of external threats (90% cite the Israeli Palestinian conflict, 83% Iran). Fifty-three percent also mentioned ultra-Orthodox control of religious life as being a major problem and 38% cited social inequality in Israel.

Interpreting the results

According to the survey, 70% of the Jewish Americans are either registered democrats or leaning toward the Democratic party, and 29% identify themselves as Republicans or leaning toward the Republican party.

Dr. Robert Jones, CEO of the Public Religion Research Institute, told Haaretz that amid the speculations on the slipping Jewish support for the president, the results have shown "fairly solid support for President Obama - the numbers are virtually identical to the June 2008 Gallup poll that showed 62% for Obama and 32% for McCain. Today, it's 6% for Obama and 30% the Republican candidate."

As for the low priority given to Israel, Dr. Jones stresses that it is important to note the statistic reflects how much weight Israel is given in terms of voting priorities, and does not reflect Jewish Americans' support for Israel. "As a voting priority it is low, [but] it doesn't mean it's not important," he said.

Dr. Jones added that "we wanted to be sure on this issue and allowed people to mention their first and second most important voting issue, because it was clear the economy is swapping everything. But even as a second issue Israel didn't move up the list - it was still 5%."

The survey also asked respondents to estimate how well eight public figures represent Jewish values. While questions could be raised about how the list of eight figures was compiled, the results were as follows: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came first (73%), U.S. Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan second (66%), New-York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg third (65%), comedian Jon Stewart got 63%, Senator Joe Lieberman (60%), actress Natalie Portman (56%), the House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (38%) and comedian Sarah Silverman (37%).

BROOKINGS:The 2011 Arab Public Opinion Poll

November 21, 2011

The 2011 Arab Public Opinion Poll


http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2011/11/21-arab-public-opinion-telhami

The United States

  • While a majority of Arabs polled continue to express unfavorable views of the United States (59%) the number of those who have favorable views of the US has increased from 10% in 2010 to 26% in 2011. This improvement could be related to the perception of the American handling of the Arab Spring, as 24% of those polled identified the US as one of the two countries they believe played the most constructive role in the Arab Spring.
  • A majority of Arabs polled (52%) remain discouraged by the Obama administration policy in the Middle East, though this is down from 65% in 2010 and up from only 15% in 2009. A plurality of those polled (43%) have negative views of President Obama while 34% have positive views. This constitutes an improvement from 2010 for Obama, but a decline from 2009.
  • When asked about the two steps by the United States that would improve their views of the US the most, 55% said an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement and 42% said stopping aid to Israel.

foreignpolicy(2011):Should the Palestinians Recognize Israel as a Jewish State?

Should the Palestinians Recognize Israel as a Jewish State?

No -- it's just another delaying tactic by Benjamin Netanyahu.

BY HUSSEIN IBISH | MAY 25, 2011

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/05/25/should_the_palestinians_recognize_israel_as_a_jewish_state?showcomments=yes

Most observers expected Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to target his harshest criticisms of the Palestinians during his U.S. trip on the Hamas-Fatah agreement. Surprisingly, his most important talking point turned out to be his demand for Palestinian recognition of Israel as a "Jewish state." To be sure, Netanyahu took every opportunity to denounce the Palestinian unity deal, compare Hamas to al Qaeda, and point out that some of its leaders had praised Osama bin Laden. But his most pointed, passionate, and persistent theme was that the core of the conflict, and the key to its solution, is that Palestine refuses to recognize Israel as a "Jewish state."

As he told a joint meeting of Congress, "It is time for President Abbas to stand before his people and say... 'I will accept a Jewish state.' Those six words will change history."

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor echoed Netanyahu, claiming, "The Palestinians' and the broader Arab world's refusal to accept Israel's right to exist as a Jewish state... is the root of the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. It is not about the '67 lines." Washington resonated to the voices of Israeli officials and their supporters similarly insisting that the conflict is not about territory or Palestinian independence, but about this issue instead.

The idea that Palestinians need to formally recognize the "Jewish character" of Israel is relatively new. Indeed, it does not predate the Annapolis Conference of 2007, where it was briefly floated by the Israeli delegation. Back then, Palestinians rejected it as an irrelevant diversion from final-status issues such as borders, security, Jerusalem, and refugees. The George W. Bush administration wasn't impressed either, and in his address at the conference President Bush simply referred to Israel as "a homeland for the Jewish people."

The historic requirement for the Palestinians was, in the words of U.N. Security Council Resolution 242, to recognize Israel's "right to live in peace within secure and recognized boundaries free from threats or acts of force." The Jewish state issue was never raised during Israel's negotiations with Egypt and Jordan. The Palestine Liberation Organization formally recognized Israel in the Letters of Mutual Recognition in 1993, which were the basis for the Oslo process and all subsequent negotiations, while Israel merely recognized the PLO as the legitimate representative of the Palestinian people. The PLO then went through a torturous series of emendations of its core documents. The Palestinians had, at that point, fully satisfied all extant diplomatic and legal requirements regarding recognition of Israel, and waited in vain for Israel to recognize an independent state of Palestine in return.

Following his re-election in 2009, Netanyahu has increasingly made this demand a mainstay. Indeed, he and his supporters now say it is not only crucial, but that it is the only real issue, even though it was never raised during most of the Palestinian-Israeli negotiations, including during his first term as prime minister.

The idea that a state -- or in this case a potential state -- should participate in defining the national character of another is highly unusual, if not unique, in international relations. The Palestinian position, stated many times by President Mahmoud Abbas, is that the PLO recognizes Israel, and that Israel is free to define itself however it chooses.

There are several crucial concerns that make Palestinian acceptance of this new demand, particularly as a prerequisite to further negotiations, extremely difficult.

Apart from strongly feeling that they have already met all reasonable demands that could be imposed on them in regard to recognizing Israel without a reciprocal recognition of an independent Palestine, Palestinian leaders worry about the ways in which this could prejudice some key final-status issues, notably refugees. Palestinian leaders are well aware that a wide-scale implementation of the right of refugees to return to Israel is a nonstarter from Israel's perspective. It's also, however, the most politically challenging issue any Palestinian leadership will have to sell to its constituency to win support for an end-of-conflict agreement; refugee return is both a right clearly enshrined in international law and one of the principal themes of the Palestinian national narrative. It is one of the few major cards the Palestinians have left to play, and, while it is reasonable to urge them to work harder to prepare their public for the necessary concessions, it is not reasonable to ask them to compromise it away before an overall agreement is concluded.

While the Palestinians clearly accept the logic of two states, and have always acknowledged a final-status agreement will involve an end of claims between the parties, they reasonably feel that asking them to formally endorse language about Israel's character as a Jewish state might prejudice leverage they could get on other crucial final-status issues from compromises on refugee return. Most serious observers have long understood that the issue of Jerusalem is the analogous problem on the Israeli side, and that no matter how much Israeli leaders and their public do not like it, no Palestinian leadership will accept an agreement that does not base the Palestinian capital in Jerusalem. Therefore, the refugee issue is widely seen as the best, and perhaps the only, leverage the Palestinians have to get the Israelis to make their own most painful compromise on the future of Jerusalem.

Moreover, Palestinians are concerned that recognizing Israel as a Jewish state might be seen as endorsing discrimination against the Palestinian minority in Israel, which is approximately 20 percent of the population. They point out that Jewish Israelis do not agree at all on what the Jewish character of Israel means. Important sections of Israeli law, life, and society are structured in a discriminatory manner based on "nationality" (i.e., "Jewish," "Arab," and scores of other classifications made by the state) as opposed to citizenship. This discrimination applies to housing, education, military service and its many benefits, access to publicly owned lands and other important aspects of social and economic life. Palestinians are understandably uncomfortable with anything that might smack of acquiescence to these structures of discrimination that permeate Israeli society in favor of those classified by the state as "Jewish."

For decades, Palestinians were told to recognize Israel and renounce violence, and through their sole legitimate international representative, the PLO, they did so almost 20 years ago, even though it meant effectively renouncing claims on a full 78 percent of the country in which they had been a large majority in 1948. They did this on the understanding that it would lead, in short order, to their own independence in an excruciatingly small part of what they regard, with impeccable historical credentials, as their own country. That has not transpired and does not appear imminent. Now they are being told that they have not done enough, that this novel concept is now the defining issue, that they once again have to read from a script being handed to them by Israeli leaders, and that if they will only say the new magic words the problem will be solved.

I doubt there is a single Palestinian who does not believe that behind Netanyahu's demand lies a fundamental disinclination to agree to a truly independent and sovereign Palestinian state. Indeed, at the Knesset on May 16 and at the Congress on May 24, he insisted on a long-term Israeli military presence along the Jordan River, effectively denying this potential Palestinian state control of its own borders. This places Netanyahu squarely at odds with U.S. President Barack Obama's clear reference to a "full and phased withdrawal of Israeli military forces" from the areas to become a Palestinian state, as does his continued strong implication that he is not prepared to negotiate seriously about Jerusalem. Therefore Netanyahu's insistence that the only real issue is for Abbas to intone the incantation "I accept Israel as a Jewish state" rings exceptionally hollow.

Netanyahu's demand is an additional and quite recent complication to an already tangled knot, but it has sunk so deeply into the Israeli and pro-Israel consciousness that some sort of language to satisfy it may ultimately have to be found. Reciprocal recognition of the Jewish right of self-determination in Israel and the Palestinian right of self-determination in Palestine might well prove a requisite final flourish on a peace agreement. But expecting or demanding Palestinians to embellish their already unrequited recognition of Israel with an extremely problematic, premature, and, at this stage, politically impossible statement about Israel as a "Jewish state" (again, whatever that might mean) can only be interpreted as another, and entirely gratuitous, obstacle to peace.

CHICAGOTRIB:Old rivalries dog Romney foreign policy team

Old rivalries dog Romney foreign policy team

June 27, 2012|Mark Hosenball | Reuters

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2012-06-27/news/sns-rt-us-usa-campaign-romney-foreignbre85q1lx-20120627_1_foreign-policy-andrea-saul-mitt-romney

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Little more than four months before the U.S. presidential elections, Republican hopeful Mitt Romney's foreign policy team is facing the same kind of internal rivalries that dogged the administrations of Ronald Reagan and both George Bushes.

Romney's official campaign website lists 42 official foreign and defense advisers, including some of the Republican Party's most prestigious experts, many veterans of past administrations.


But the team includes personalities strongly identified with contending factions whose internecine battles have dogged Republican foreign policy circles for a generation. One, more pragmatic, group is known as the "moderates." Members of the other, with a harder ideological edge, are loosely known as "neocons," short for neo-conservatives.

Already, fights have broken out over touchstone issues such as Russia and China, according to individuals close to the campaign.

One Romney campaign contributor who has interacted with the outside advisers said they held only one meeting as a group, in the offices of former Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff. It ended in an argument between moderates and neocons over Afghanistan policy.

Some Republican heavyweights from the more pragmatic, realpolitik school, including President George H.W. Bush national security adviser Brent Scowcroft, have declined thus far to endorse Romney.

Vigorous debates are common within any presidential campaign, and it remains to be seen whether those in the Romney camp become a major problem, much less endure should he become president.

Campaign spokespeople and Romney partisans described the foreign policy debates as healthy - and aimed at giving the presumptive nominee the best advice. Some suggested the complaints represent the griping of advisers who are on the campaign's margins, with little access.

CONSERVATIVE TREND

Andrea Saul, a Romney campaign spokeswoman, denied that its foreign policy team was bogged down in feuding and dysfunction.

"The foreign policy advisory team is a group of respected experts who work collectively, collegially, and closely to provide their best advice to Gov. Romney. He evaluates their opinions and ultimately make his own decisions on policy. Any rumors to the contrary are simply false and uninformed speculation that demonstrates a deep unfamiliarity with the campaign's decision making," Saul said.

Most of Romney's public foreign policy pronouncements have leaned toward the conservative side of the spectrum.

On occasion, the former Massachusetts governor, has evoked the Cold War. In a March interview with CNN, he called Russia "without question our No. 1 geopolitical foe."

On Iran, Romney has laid down a hard line, saying: "If I am president, I will begin by imposing a new round of far tougher economic sanctions on Iran ... I will back up American diplomacy with a very real and very credible military option."

And Romney has harshly criticized Obama for announcing a timetable for withdrawing U.S. forces from Afghanistan, saying in February: "Why in the world do you go to the people that you're fighting with and tell them the date you're pulling out your troops? It makes absolutely no sense."

A long-time Republican activist who has been in contact with some of the Romney camp's more centrist elements said that moderates "are very concerned about the fact that if Romney needs to call anyone, his instinct is to call the Cheney-ites."

This is a reference to acolytes of former Vice President Dick Cheney. Several top former Cheney aides are among Romney's advisers.

But they also include prominent moderates such as Chertoff; former CIA and National Security Agency director General Michael Hayden and Mitchell Reiss, a former State Department official and prominent advocate of peace talks with the Afghan Taliban. (Romney himself has not taken that position).

"LIKES DIVERGENT VIEWS"

A Republican source aligned with some of the party's conservative elements said there have been "huge fights over policy" which have roiled the Romney adviser corps, resulting in full-time staffers trying to limit Romney's public statements on foreign policy.

Richard Williamson, a senior Republican strategist who advises Romney, acknowledged a "difference of views" among the advisers, which he characterized as normal for a presidential campaign.

But Williamson denied the campaign was plagued by factional squabbles.

Campaigns "by their nature" involve some infighting, said Williamson, whom the campaign made available to Reuters. He said that Romney "likes divergent views."

"I think that's a plus," Williamson said. "I look at it as healthy... I find it comforting that Mitt Romney makes up his own mind."



washpost:Six months after US withdrawal, surge in violence spurs fears Iraq will be unstable for years

Six months after US withdrawal, surge in violence spurs fears Iraq will be unstable for years

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/six-months-after-us-withdrawal-surge-in-violence-spurs-fears-iraq-will-be-unstable-for-years/2012/06/30/gJQA6ZhIEW_story.html

BAGHDAD — A half year after the U.S. military left Iraq, dire predictions seem to be coming true: The country is mired in violence and the government is on the verge of collapsing. With no relief in sight, there’s growing talk of Iraq as a failed state as al-Qaida’s local wing staged near daily attacks that killed at least 234 people in June.

Iraq no longer suffers widespread retaliatory killings between Sunni and Shiite extremists that brought the country to the brink of civil war. But the spike in violence heightens fears that Iraq could limp along for years as an unstable and dangerous country.

June was the second-deadliest month since U.S. troops withdrew from Iraq in mid-December as insurgents exploited the political struggles between the country’s ethnic and sectarian factions. More significant than the numbers was the fact that insurgents appeared able to sustain the level of violence over a longer period than usual. There was a major deadly bombing or shooting rampage almost every three days, many targeting Shiite pilgrims.

The violence has brought the weakness of Iraq’s security apparatus into sharp focus even as deepening political divisions dim the prospects that the country will emerge as a stable democracy after decades of war and dictatorship.

“The state is almost paralyzed and dysfunctional due to political feuds. In such circumstances, the security forces also will be paralyzed and the insurgents groups are making use of this chaos,” Haider al-Saadi, the Shiite owner of internet cafe in eastern Baghdad, said Saturday. “I do not think that al-Qaida is getting any stronger — it is the state that is getting weaker.”

The situation deteriorated shortly after American troops left Iraq on Dec. 18, following failed negotiations to stay beyond a year-end withdrawal deadline that was cemented in a 2008 security agreement.

The next day Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s government issued terror charges against Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi, one of Iraq’s highest-ranking Sunnis, who fled Baghdad and remains on the lam. Sunni lawmakers briefly boycotted parliament and al-Maliki’s cabinet in protest. By spring, leaders of the self-ruled Kurdish northern region joined the Sunni-dominated Iraqiya political coalition against al-Maliki, whom they accused of refusing to share power.

And last week, in the first major defection by an influential Shiite leader, anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr said he would direct his followers to join efforts to oust al-Maliki if a power-sharing agreement is not reached.

Al-Maliki, who won a second term in 2010, followed with a threat to call for early elections that would dissolve parliament if government infighting does not stop.

In calling for an early election, al-Maliki is betting he would win with enough widespread support to gain undisputed power. His political coalition fell short of winning the most seats in parliament in 2010 elections and back-room dealing among political parties delayed a new government from taking over for nine months.

Government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh agreed Saturday that the political crisis has fueled June’s violent surge.

“The insurgents are making use of the political differences in the country, and the recent attacks are the result of this political strife,” al-Dabbagh said.

Violence has been steady across Iraq so far this year, but the levels of attacks in June soared beyond the occasional, if spectacular, wave of bombings that is al- Qaida’s usual pattern. Victims mostly have been Shiite pilgrims, government officials and security forces — three of al-Qaida’s favorite targets.

Al-Qaida front group the Islamic State of Iraq claimed responsibility for a June 13 wave of nearly two dozen bombings nationwide that killed 72 Iraqis. The coordination, sophistication and targets of several other attacks also bore the hallmarks of the terror network.

Iraqi and U.S. intelligence officials long have said that al-Qaida’s resources in Iraq — including money, weapons and a stable of suicide bombers — have dwindled to the point where the insurgent group can only carry off a few attacks each month.

Many experts believe the turmoil in neighboring Syria is stoking the violence, saying the success of the Sunni-led opposition against President Bashar Assad’s regime is emboldening Iraqi Sunnis to attack government targets.

“As the edifice in Syria weakens, the more space for violence is going spill over to the Sunni areas in Iraq,” said Kamran Bokhari, a Canadian-based expert on Mideast issues for the global intelligence company Statfor.

Some analysts believe Iraq is turning into a failed state. This month, the U.S.-based Fund for Peace ranked Iraq No. 9 on its annual Top Ten list of failed states worldwide. The nonpartisan research group ranked 178 nations and blamed the persistent security problems in Iraq on the inability to overcome long-standing ethnic and sectarian tensions.

Despite the continued bombings and other attacks, Iraqis have not returned to the sectarian warfare that killed tens of thousands of people as violence peaked in 2006-2007. Shiite militias have shown restraint even as a spate of bombings targeted Shiite pilgrims, shrines and government leaders.

And as al-Sadr, an anti-U.S. cleric whose militias were responsible for some of the bloodiest attacks of the war, seeks to secure his status as a major political player in Iraq, it’s doubtful he will unleash his followers in widespread violence that would undermine his credibility across the mostly-Sunni Arab world.

Even al-Maliki’s opponents speak only of ousting him in a parliamentary vote, not by force.

“People now know that violence will breed violence and sectarian killings will lead to more counter-sectarian killings,” said Omar al-Jubouri, a Sunni lawmaker from the Iraqiya bloc.

Underscoring the continued dangers, however, the month ended with a pair of bombings Saturday in the northern, Sunni-dominated Nivevah province, killing two soldiers on separate security patrols, local officials said.

Many Iraqis lament the withdrawal of U.S. forces, saying it was premature.

“The U.S. pullout was a mistake because the country is still in need for their intelligence and military capabilities,” said Mohammed Salam, a Sunni government employee in Baghdad. “The Iraqi government should have kept some several thousands of U.S. troops in order to help Iraq forces maintain a reasonable level of security.”

The international community spent billions of dollars to stabilize Iraq since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion that ousted Saddam Hussein. Nearly 4,500 U.S. troops were killed during the war.

But the U.S. currently has limited influence in Baghdad: A June 14 statement by the top national security adviser to Vice President Joe Biden that urged Iraqi officials to “alleviate current tensions in order to refocus energy on critical state-building challenges” produced few, if any, signs of progress.

Nor do most Iraqis expect any.

“I think Iraq will see worse days in the future if the politicians continue their destructive feuds and keep following their personal ambitions,” Salam said.

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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
Is Obama timid? June 8, 2012
Format:Hardcover
This is an important book because the subjects it surveys - America's critically important relationships in the Middle East, and why they are in parlous shape - are in urgent need of informed debate. Professor Gerges captures and explains much of what Obama inherited, what he has changed for the better and where his rhetoric has outstripped performance. His key conclusion is that Obama has repeatedly lacked the courage of his convictions, was a politician rather than a statesman - was "timid" - particularly in dealing with Israel's Bibi Netanyahu and the Israeli occupation. He acknowledges the substantial obstacles to change, both in Congress and in the region. However, the book does not persuasively demonstrate that Obama had policy options that he chose not to use; that those options were not effectively blocked in Congress; that, when implemented, such policies would have overcome intransigent Israeli resistance; and that the likely costs to other elements of the administration's program were tolerable.
Gerges does a wonderful job of describing what American policy should be, and what effects it should have on the ground. For those of us who agree with him wholeheartedly, it is critical to understand what keeps the changes from happening. And it may be that facts will eventually become available to show that Obama could have faced Netanyahu (and his friends) down and forced a reversal in longstanding Israeli policy. But as Gerges notes, "Israeli politicians," including Netanyahu and former opposition leader Tzipi Livni, "have made a conscious decision that keeping Palestinian lands is more important" than peace at the cost of much of that land. Without Israeli acceptance of a Palestinian polity that is in meaningful ways sovereign or independent, a sustainable solution is scarcely conceivable. If the minds of the current Israeli leadership cannot be changed, American policy would have to be geared to convincing the Israeli public to change its leadership and commit to a new course. That might require conditioning American economic, military, and political support on changes in Israeli policy to make it dramatically clear to Israeli voters that the "status quo," which is really a ratcheting process leading to a dark future, is not sustainable.
George H. W. Bush did something close to that in 1991, persuading Israelis that the stiff-necked positions of Yitzhak Shamir were doing unnecessary damage to the relationship with the US. But Bush was in a very different position from that of Obama. He had just won the Gulf War, and had great credibility with the public and the Congress on matters of national security. Israel believed (incorrectly, as it happened) that it needed massive US housing loan guarantees, something Bush could block. Shamir was a rough cob, not adept at American politics. And waiting in the wings was Yitzhak Rabin, the man with unparalleled credibility and an announced willingness to negotiate. Obama faces a Congress dedicated to several dubious propositions: that in an era obsessed with "terrorists," all of Israel's adversaries are terrorists; that Israel is a democratic and reliable ally; and that distance from Israel or its American advocates risks defeat at the polls. Bibi is stronger than any prior Israeli premier, totally committed to the settler project, has no serious contenders for leadership, and plays American politics like an old ward boss. Bibi doesn't need a new, large aid program, just the continuation of those already entrenched in congressional commitments. Even given these differences, Bush moved the ball very little, giving Rabin everything he asked for (including massive increases in settlement construction) in return for talks that eventuated in the fatally flawed Oslo Accords.
Obama's mistake may have been in confronting Netanyahu several times on the settlement issue without a Plan B to implement when Bibi decided he could stiff this president. Perhaps Obama could have abstained or voted for the 2011 Security Council resolutions that he instead vetoed (condemning settlements in Obama's own words, and seeking Palestinian UN membership). That would have created a domestic political firestorm, but it would also have stunned Israelis and caused intense debate on whether Bibi's mismanagement of the relationship with Obama was too costly to countenance. Such decisions are at least within the president's discretion, whereas conditioning ongoing aid is relatively easy for congressional friends of Israel to block. The other questions would still remain: would Israel change major policies in substantial and sustained ways; and would the cost of the effort be tolerable, as the Congress added constraints and penalties to every bill? Doubtful, on each question.
That, in a nutshell, is the case for skepticism that Obama could have achieved anything except a bloody head in running a few more times into this particular wall. In spite of such cavils, Professor Gerges' book is a searching, thorough review of a critical set of problems in American policy, including those relating to Iran and terrorism. Hopefully it will help to engender a re-thinking of priorities and the kind of policy changes that Obama speaks of but has not yet brought about.


HUFFPOST:Robert Gates: 'We're Not Ever Leaving' Afghanistan

Robert Gates: 'We're Not Ever Leaving' Afghanistan

09/29/10

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/09/29/bob-woodward-robert-gates_n_743409.html

In a shocking indication of a split between the White House and the Pentagon over the war in Afghanistan, Defense Secretary Robert Gates believes that the U.S. military will never leave the war-torn country.

During a dinner hosted by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for Afghan President Hamid Karzai in May, Gates reminded the group that he still feels guilty for his role in the first President Bush's decision to pull out of Afghanistan after the Soviet withdrawal in 1989, according to Bob Woodward's new book, "Obama's Wars." And to express his commitment to not letting down the country again, he emphasized:

"We're not leaving Afghanistan prematurely," Gates finally said. "In fact, we're not ever leaving at all."

Woodward notes that the group was shocked by the blunt comment: "At least one stunned participant put down his fork. Another wrote it down, verbatim, in his notes."

The definitive statement seems to clash with President Obama's assertion that he does not want to leave the war to his successor. Though he has emphasized that the U.S. will stay in Afghanistan "until the job is done," he wants almost all the US troops out before the end of his first term in January 2013, leaving in place a small contingency force.

Yet Obama's public commitment to eventually leaving Afghanistan seems partly based on political calculation, reports Woodward. When questioned by Republican Senator Lindsay Graham about the July 2011 deadline to begin withdrawing troops, Obama tells him:

"Well, if you'd asked me that question, what I would say is, 'We're going to start leaving.' I have to say that. I can't let this be a war without end, and I can't lose the whole Democratic Party... And people at home don't want to hear we're going to be there for ten years."

White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel privately refers to the war as "political flypaper" and the veteran of sharp-elbowed Chicago politics once got so frustrated with Karzai that he considered sending him "the equivalent of a dead fish with an imperial wrapping," writes Woodward. Emanuel's threat -- "Tell him we're going to put our own governors in if we have to" -- was ignored by the president during a meeting with military brass.

Gates, who is planning to leave his job before the 2012 presidential election, could be referring to that small contingency force with his comments. But his remarks do seem to highlight the differences between the military brass and the White House over Afghan strategy from the type of warfare to the size of the troop increase, as outlined in Woodward's book.

And it seems to further indicate the Pentagon's commitment to staying in Afghanistan. The commander of US troops in Afghanistan, Gen. David Petraeus, is quoted saying about the country:

"You have to recognize that I don't think you win this war. I think you keep fighting. You have to stay after it. This is the kind of fight we're in for the rest of our lives and probably our kids' lives."

CNN:Analysis: Israel treads carefully with Egypt

Analysis: Israel treads carefully with Egypt

June 26th, 2012

http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/26/analysis-israels-careful-tread-on-egypt/

By Elise Labott

The ball is now in Egyptian President-elect Mohamed Morsi's court in terms of dialogue with Israel, according to Israeli officials who spoke with CNN's Security Clearance.

But those officials say there are intense concerns about terrorist cells in the Sinai that Egypt needs to get a handle on. Israel is desperate to avoid a military confrontation there.

The officials said that with Morsi, a former Muslim Brotherhood member, it's a bit of wait and see. They believe the domestic challenges he will be facing - the economy, the relationship with the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, known as SCAF and other issues are so important and pressing that Israel does not expect Egypt's relations with it to be a front-burner issue.

Which is why there are no expectations of immediate war or peace.

The Israeli officials believe Morsi understands keeping the peace treaty between the two nations can be an asset, as it can maintain the so-called peace triangle with the United States, which of course comes with substantial military and civilian assistance.

At some point some new channels may be opened and opportunities seized, but what can be achieved will be apparent only in the long run. The officials are cognizant that Morsi doesn't have a parliament or any concrete power yet and that the Egyptian military will be a critical player. This is seen as good for Israel, because the Israeli military has a good relationship with its Egyptian counterpart and Israel believes the SCAF sees Israel as a strategic asset.

They also expect the technocrats in the Egyptian ministries they have been dealing with to remain for continuity in the near term.

The most important barometer for relations seems to be the Sinai and Gaza. One bad incident could escalate tensions and officials say Israel really wants to avoid a confrontation. For years, although there were some border clashes, former President Hosni Mubarak was able to guide the Palestinians in Gaza to go only so far. And since his ouster, the SCAF has prevented things from completely deteriorating.

But officials say Israel is extremely concerned about cross-border attacks over the past year or so, including a deadly attack last August. In that incident, a group of militants engaged in a string of terror strikes on buses, civilian vehicles and soldiers 20 kilometers north of the resort city of Eilat, Israel, leaving eight people dead. Five Egyptian security troops were killed later the same day, an act believed to be the work of Israeli forces targeting militants in the area - which prompted the dramatic storming of the Israeli Embassy in Cairo by protesters a month later.

Israeli officials say Israel is behaving very cautiously because of the instability in Egypt. They don't want the Sinai to become an area for clashes forcing Israeli troops to enter Egyptian territory. Israel is sending urgent messages to the SCAF, directly and through other channels, about its anxiety.

But an explosive mix of lawlessness along the Egyptian-Israeli border since the fall of Mubarak, trafficking of weapons and people across the border from Sudan and terrorist activity is making the Sinai increasingly unstable, Israeli officials say. They point to terrorists, including some members of al Qaeda, moving freely in the area to target Israel, a fact even Egypt does not deny.

"We now have to face the reality that al Qaeda is present in Sinai," a senior Egyptian intelligence official told CNN last week. " ... Palestinian Islamic Jihadi factions now present in Sinai, along with al Qaeda cells, are active, and we are tracking them down."

Israel is looking for first the SCAF, and ultimately the Morsi government, to keep the border quiet. The SCAF isn't completely skirting responsibility, but it is not concentrating its efforts on the border because it has so many other priorities throughout the country. Officials say that the SCAF has acknowledged to the Israelis that terrorists cells are operating along the border and they are trying to do what they can, but Israel clearly doesn't think it is enough.

The Multinational Force and Observers (MFO) is the main interlocutor whose original job was to monitor the peace treaty, providing peacekeepers in the Sinai. U.S. diplomat David Satterfield, the leader of the MFO, has been intensively consulting with the Egyptians and Israelis. Earlier this week he made an urgent trip to Washington, where he met with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and probably other U.S. officials.

Another complicating factor, according to the Israeli officials, is competition for control of Gaza between Hamas and other jihadi groups such as Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Although Hamas did launch some rockets over the past few weeks, nobody thinks Hamas wanted the situation to get out of control during the Egyptian elections.

Israel is interested in seeing how the relationship between Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas plays out and, given Morsi's statement that he wants to abide by international treaties, whether he will rein in Hamas.

In the wake of the election, there are lots of questions with no clear answers. For now the name of the game in Jerusalem, according to one official, is "strategic silence." They don't want to rush to any positive or negative conclusions

CNN:U.S. sees stalemate in Syrian fighting

U.S. sees stalemate in Syrian fighting

June 26th, 2012

http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/26/u-s-sees-stalemate-in-syrian-fighting/

By Barbara Starr

U.S. intelligence officials are describing the fighting in Syria as currently a stalemate between the regime and opposition forces, but those officials continue to believe Bashar al-Assad will eventually be forced from power.

"It doesn't seem either side is in a position to prevail or dominate," said a senior U.S. intelligence official. "We are looking at a protracted conflict."

The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the discussions.

Officials are describing a "seesaw battle" between regime and opposition forces. The opposition forces have improved their tactics - using fresh supplies of small arms, they have increasingly attacked government checkpoint and facilities; and engaging in hit-and-run operations, according to the intelligence officials. But the regime is using brutal militias loyal to al-Assad to carry out atrocities, and is using so-called "combined arms" strategies of attacking with artillery and helicopters.

The officials said the intelligence community has looked at alternatives that could emerge in Syria such as civil war or increased sectarian violence. They suggest its also possible Sunni elites and Alawi Christians could join forces in an effort to "save themselves" if Syria begins to implode. At the moment there is no evidence minorities such as the Christians, Druze or Kurds are joining the opposition in larger numbers. The U.S. believes the opposition forces now numbers between 10,000 and 15,000.

Even though the officials characterized the current state of affairs as a stalemate, it's still believed al-Assad will be forced out of office, officials say. The officials emphasized they see overall a "downward trend" for the regime, in line with the White House view that at the end of the day al-Assad will leave office.

They say they simply cannot put a time frame on it, but they say the Syrian government is facing a much broader opposition.

"It's hard for me to see how the regime could restore the status quo ante," one of the officials said.

As the opposition improves, the regime has stepped up its attacks, as evidenced by recent atrocities. The officials say the United States still "could be surprised" by a "misstep" from either side, but barring that, the U.S. belief is that the conflict simply will "continue for some period of time."

"Both sides seem to be girding for a long struggle. The regime still believes it can prevail, but at the same time opposition is preparing for a long fight," one official said.

As for the al-Assad government, U.S. intelligence officials said the regime inner circle and high-level government and military are still holding firm.

Al-Assad's government had an estimated $17 billion to $20 billion in foreign reserves when conflict began; U.S. officials don't know what the holdings are currently.

While fuel and food shortages continue throughout the country, the government is making sure troops are paid and provided for in order to maintain loyalty. For the population at large, U.S. officials do not believe the shortages have reached catastrophic levels, but Syrian civilians are having difficulty procuring essentials.

CNN:All quiet in the Persian Gulf

All quiet in the Persian Gulf

http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/27/all-quiet-in-the-persian-gulf/

By Jennifer Rizzo

Iran's Navy has discontinued the aggressive moves its forces were making against U.S. ships in the Persian Gulf earlier this year, according to the Navy's top official.

"Things have been, relatively speaking, quiet in that regard," Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Jonathan Greenert said during a briefing with reporters Wednesday. "We really haven't had many - quote - confrontations."

In January, U.S. military including Coast Guard ships had two close encounters with high-speed Iranian boats in the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf that exhibited provocative behavior.

But Greenert said over the last couple of months, Iran's Navy has had routine exercises and the harassing behavior has stopped.

"Every operation has been predictable and as I said before in accordance with the international rules," he said. "They have been professional and courteous, committing to the rules of the road."

DEFENSE.GOV:Leon E. Panetta, U.S. Institute of Peace, Washington, DC, Thursday, June 28, 2012

Dean Acheson Lecture: "Building Partnership in the 21st Century"
As Delivered by Secretary of Defense Leon E. Panetta, U.S. Institute of Peace, Washington, DC, Thursday, June 28, 2012

http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1691

Thank you, Dick, for that kind introduction, and thank you for the invitation to deliver the fifth Dean Acheson Lecture.

Dick, let me start by commending you on your two decades of leadership here at the U.S. Institute of Peace. I also want to wish you the very best as you prepare to step down after a long and distinguished tenure here. Don’t get too comfortable in retirement – that comes from somebody who knows what the hell I’m talking about.

I am proud to have served in the House of Representatives when we passed the bill that established this institute back in 1984. Under your leadership, this institute has transformed itself from a research center into an organization that provides invaluable expertise to prevent, to mitigate, and to manage conflict throughout the world, deploying staff to Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and other conflict zones. And that is really what was envisioned when we were working on the legislation at the time – not to just have a research facility, but to have a facility that would actively engage in the effort to preserve piece.

I did have the honor of serving on the Iraq Study Group which was indeed supported and staffed by the U.S. Institute of Peace. It was Chaired by former Secretary of State Jim Baker and former Congressman Lee Hamilton. And I truly believe the Report of the Iraq Study Group made an important contribution to the debate and the strategy that ultimately brought that war to a responsible end.

This institute’s work has saved lives, and enhanced our national security. In doing so, it really has stayed true to the spirit of the man whose legacy we celebrate tonight, Dean Acheson.

The historian Arthur Schlesinger once observed that “in a city of gray and anonymous men, Dean Acheson stood out like a noble monument from another and more vivid era.”

Indeed, sixty years after serving as Secretary of State, and more than forty years after his death, Acheson’s unique blend of strategic brilliance and “personal bravura” are still well remembered in this town.

Having just enjoyed the hospitality of your cocktail reception, I’m reminded of the time when a newly elected President Kennedy paid a call on Acheson at his Georgetown home. Acheson offered him a martini, but Kennedy declined and asked for tea instead. That deeply offended Acheson. After all, according to a friend, “he never trusted a man who wouldn’t have a stiff drink with him.”

I know I would have been his very dear friend.

In fact, I learned that Acheson and I share more than a love of a stiff drink.

We both rose to prominence in the executive branch when we were both relatively young. And we were both fired from our jobs. Acheson was fired from Treasury by FDR in 1933, and I was fired from the Office for Civil Rights by President Nixon in 1970.

In both our cases, we first heard about it from the press.

Acheson was eventually rehired by Roosevelt at the beginning of his third term. I don’t think I was ever in danger of being rehired by President Nixon, and I made the wise decision to return to California.

The nation was deeply fortunate to have the service of Dean Acheson. There is perhaps no span of time in American history where the country faced more international turmoil, uncertainty and conflict than the decade during which Dean Acheson served in the State Department. It began just months…[before] Pearl Harbor in 1941 and extended through the Truman administration.

Despite our victory in World War II, when Acheson became Secretary of State in 1949, the global security landscape was ominous. Stalin was at the height of his power, Western Europe lay in ruins, and we faced a crisis over the Soviet blockade of Berlin. Within months, the Soviet Union would test its first atomic bomb and North Korea would invade the South.

In the face of these challenges and others, Acheson helped guide the Truman administration to take some bold actions – from the Marshall Plan and the Berlin airlift to the intervention in Korea – actions that asserted America’s strength, countered the Soviet Union, and helped lay the groundwork for our ultimate victory in the Cold War.

Dean Acheson was a leading proponent for bolstering and asserting America’s military might. But Acheson also strongly believed that America should not seek to shoulder the burden and costs for global security alone. Instead, he understood that a key part of a strong defense was to build the security capacity of allies and partners.

That legacy is deeply relevant to the argument I want to make tonight. In order to advance security and prosperity in the 21st century, we must maintain and even enhance our military strength. But I also believe that the United States must place even greater strategic emphasis on building the security capabilities of others. We must be bold enough to adopt a more collaborative approach to security both within the United States government and among allies, partners, and multilateral organizations.

From Western Europe and NATO to South Korea, from the Truman Doctrine to the Nixon Doctrine, working with key allies and regional partners to build their military and security forces became a major component of U.S. national security strategy after World War II.

This approach has endured long beyond the Cold War, and for the United States military it has gained new – and appropriate – importance as a mission in the decade since 9/11.

In 2006 – the same year as the Iraq Study Group convened – the Department of Defense’s Quadrennial Defense Review recognized the critical importance of having the authorities and resources to perform what it called “building partnership capacity.”

Since then, as the United States helped turn the tide in Iraq and Afghanistan, confronted terrorism in the FATA, in Yemen, in the Horn of Africa and the Philippines, and participated in the NATO operation in Libya that helped bring down Qadhafi, the approach of working with and through others has only grown in importance to our mission of defending our country. In particular, the task of training, advising, and partnering with foreign military and security forces has moved from the periphery to become a critical skill set across our armed forces.

It is, in many ways, the approach that this institute has promoted for nearly three decades.

Standing up the Iraqi Security Forces was central to our ability to bring the war to a responsible conclusion last December. Achieving our goal in Afghanistan similarly depends on building an Afghanistan that can secure and govern itself – a reality that is now guiding the strategy that General Allen is implementing on the ground as commander of the NATO effort.

As the war in Afghanistan begins to wind down, the United States has an opportunity to begin to focus on other challenges and opportunities of the future. But as we do so, the United States is grappling with a deficit and a debt problem that has led Congress to require us to achieve significant savings – nearly half a trillion dollars in savings over the next decade.

Unlike past defense drawdowns, and we have experienced those throughout the past, often times the threats the country was facing appeared to diminish. But today, we still confront many challenges and many threats: the continuing threat of violent extremism – even though we have done significant damage to al Qaeda in Pakistan, we continue to have terrorism in Yemen, in Somalia, in North Africa; we confront the threat of weapons proliferation; we confront the threat of cyber intrusions; we continue to experience cyber attacks every day – it is, without question, a battlefield of the future; we continue to see the destabilizing behavior of nations like Iran and North Korea; the rise of new powers across Asia; and the dramatic changes that we’ve seen unfold across the Middle East and North Africa.

These challenges, coupled with the new fiscal reality, led us to reshape our priorities with a new defense strategy for the 21st century. It is a strategy that places a greater emphasis on building the capabilities of others to help meet the security challenges of the future, and to sustain a peaceful and cooperative international order.

This strategy is built on five key elements:

First, we know we are going to be smaller and leaner – that’s a reality – but we must remain agile, flexible, quickly deployable, and on the cutting edge of technology.

Second, we must remain strong enough to confront aggression and defeat more than one enemy at a time. If we face the threat of a land war in Korea, we have to be able to deal with that at the same time that we deal with the possibility of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. And we feel we’ve maintained that capability.

Third, we will also continue to invest in the capabilities of the future. Yes, we obviously have to meet our responsibility with regard to reducing the deficit burden. But at the same time we also need to invest – invest in cyber, invest in unmanned systems, invest in space, invest in special operations forces, and invest in the ability to quickly mobilize and also the importance of maintaining our industrial base.

Fourth, our new strategy prioritizes the Asia-Pacific region and the Middle East. These are the areas with the most significant security challenges. In those regions, we will retain and even enhance our military presence, to ensure that we can project power and deter aggression. But we are also going to help more nations share the responsibilities and costs of providing security by investing in alliances and partnerships, as I explained at the Shangri-La Dialogue earlier this month.

And lastly, we will maintain a presence elsewhere in the world, particularly in regions like Europe, Africa and Latin America. We must use our best skills and our assistance to build new alliances, new partnerships throughout the world by engaging in exercises, in training, in assistance and in innovative rotational deployments.

The benefits of this emphasis on a partnered approach to security were apparent to me during a trip that I took to Colombia in April. There, the United States has spent years training and equipping the military to take on the FARC, a narco-trafficking terrorist organization. Not only has Colombia made significant gains over the past few years against the FARC, it is stepping up to help combat illicit trafficking in Central America. Colombia is now one of fourteen countries working cooperatively to disrupt narco-traffickers in Central America. I also visited Brazil and Chile, and saw impressive demonstrations of their growing military capabilities – capabilities that are enabling them to contribute to security in Central America, Africa and across the globe.

What I saw in these countries reinforced a new reality. In the past, the United States often assumed the primary role of defending others. We built permanent bases. We deployed large forces across the globe to fixed positions. We often assumed that others were not willing or capable of defending themselves.

Our new strategy recognizes that this is not the world we live in anymore. But implementing this new strategy will demand adjustments across the entire national security apparatus.

Tonight, let me outline a Department-wide initiative – “Building Partnerships in the 21st Century.” Its fundamental purpose is to improve our security cooperation across three broad areas:

  • First, by taking a strategic approach to security cooperation and making sure that we have comprehensive and integrated capabilities in key regions in order to confront critical security challenges;
  • Second, ensuring the Defense Department continues to enhance the skill sets and capabilities that are needed to build and sustain partnerships;
  • Third, streamlining the Department’s internal processes to speed up and improve security cooperation programs – and working with the Department of State and Congress to do the same.

Let me talk about the first point, which is a Comprehensive and Strategic Approach to Security Cooperation

I have urged the Department to develop innovative approaches to meeting future security challenges, approaches that take better advantage of the opportunities for partnership and help us to more effectively advance a common security vision for the future. To that end, I’ve directed all of the geographic Combatant Commanders to think and plan strategically when it comes to security cooperation, including all their regional activities – from joint exercises, exchanges, and operations to more traditional forms of security assistance.

During the Cold War, U.S. partnership efforts were principally directed at countering a single adversary, the Soviet Union. In the 21st century, we must build partnerships that enable us to better meet a wider range of challenges.

To that end, I see us building networks that leverage our unique capabilities – and the unique strengths of our allies and partners that share common interests – to confront the critical challenges of the future.

That means continuing to work with nations in the Horn of Africa, the Middle East and Asia to counter violent extremism. It means working with partners in the Persian Gulf to strengthen their ability to counter Iran’s destabilizing activities, and it means advancing collaborative efforts with Israel to deploy systems like Iron Dome, which protects Israeli citizens against the threat of rockets. It means investing in new capabilities with allies in Northeast Asia, such as missile defense, to counter North Korea. We will also work to strengthen the maritime security and humanitarian assistance capabilities of key partners in the Indian Ocean and in Southeast Asia. We will work with partner nations in the Western Hemisphere to tackle the challenge of illicit trafficking and response to natural disasters. And we will strengthen NATO’s capabilities in missile defense, meet our Article 5 commitments, and ensure that we can conduct expeditionary operations with our European allies. And we must ensure that they can assume a greater burden of the responsibility when we do engage.

These networks will be supported by innovative, small-footprint deployments of U.S. forces and capabilities to key strategic locations around the globe – from Northern Australia to Singapore, from Djibouti to Rota. Combined with our traditional forward presence and other capabilities, these deployments will enhance our ability to train and to operate with partners, and to respond to future crises.

To succeed in these efforts, we have to coordinate even more closely with the Department of State. My goal is for the Department of State to have a leading role in crafting and conducting U.S. foreign policy, so that we can reaffirm and strengthen our strategic approach to defense partnerships. But it is also clear that building partnership capacity is a key military mission for the future.

A second area is to enhance DoD’s capabilities in this area.

Building strong partnerships around the world will require us to sustain and enhance American military strength. But all of the military services, and the Department as a whole, also must adapt as partnering with foreign militaries becomes even more of a mainstay of the U.S. defense strategy. We have got to develop a “partnering culture.”

To that end, those security cooperation capabilities and skill sets once considered the exclusive province of the special operations community will need to be built up and retained across the force and among civilians. In particular, it is critical that we invest in language training and in cultural expertise throughout the Department. Building the capacity of defense ministries and other institutions, which have not been a main focus of efforts, must become more prominent. We need to work collaboratively with State, USAID and non-governmental organizations to help partner countries so that they can modernize and reform in a way that contributes to regional security.

The U.S. Army’s plan to align a brigade combat team with each regional combatant command – which will be rolled out next year with Africa Command – is one example of the kind of approach that will boost our partnership capabilities and regional expertise.

And more broadly, I want to see the military retain the hard-won capability to train and advise foreign security forces in support of stability operations like in Iraq and Afghanistan. But I also want us to become better at working with more capable security partners on our shared security interests – particularly rising powers like Brazil and India [that] can make significant and positive contributions to global security and prosperity.

And lastly, streamlining processes.

To better partner with our more capable friends and allies requires that we make our security cooperation processes more efficient and more agile. As part of this effort, we are working with the State Department to ensure that our new and most flexible security cooperation tools – particularly the new Global Security Contingency Fund – are used to their maximum advantage. These “dual key” programs – which require approval by me and by Secretary Clinton – have been a big step forward to create incentives for collaboration. But our security cooperation programs still rely on a patchwork of different authorities, different funding, different rules governing defense exports depend on processes that are truly cumbersome and were built during the Cold War.

I strongly support efforts to achieve comprehensive reform in these areas through legislation. But I have also directed the Department of Defense’s senior leadership team to streamline and strengthen those security cooperation procedures that are under our control, and that maximize our use of the highest priority and most effective programs.

We have also made substantial progress in facilitating defense trade with a broad range of allies and partners – an area I believe of critical importance to both our national security and the global economy. As one indication, annual U.S. government foreign military sales have grown from an average of about $12 billion at the beginning of the last decade to an average of roughly $38 billion over the last three years. There has also been a tremendous growth in cooperative acquisition efforts with allies and partners, including the Joint Strike Fighter and the NATO Alliance Ground Surveillance programs, and in U.S. industry’s direct commercial sales of defense equipment and services abroad.

Defense trade is a promising avenue for deepening security cooperation with our most capable partner nations. Our on-going work in reforming our export control system is a critical part of fostering that cooperation. Each transaction creates new opportunities for training, for exercises, for relationship building. It also supports our industrial base, with roughly one third of defense industry output supported by defense exports. This is important for American jobs and for our ability to invest in new defense capabilities for the future.

India is one such country that would benefit from changes to our system. While in New Delhi earlier this month I announced that my Deputy, Ash Carter, will work with Indian counterparts to streamline our respective bureaucratic processes to better enable defense trade.

It is clear to me that there is more that can be done to facilitate defense cooperation, with our traditional allies and our new partners alike. We are working to make U.S. government decision-making simpler, faster and more predictable for our partners. This means better anticipating their needs ahead of time, fast-tracking priority sales, and incorporating U.S. exportability requirements up front in the development process. A new Special Defense Acquisition Fund is allowing us to begin procuring long-lead, high demand items in anticipation of our partner requests. And we’ve also built Expeditionary Requirements Generation Teams that send acquisitions experts abroad to help our allies better define and better streamline their requests. And a proposed Defense Coalition Repair Fund will allow us to repair equipment in anticipation of partner requests.

All these efforts are a priority for me, and for the Department of State. And I firmly believe that judicious sales or transfers of capabilities to responsible governments are vital in maintaining peace and deterring would-be aggressors. The security challenges of the future require us to partner, and the plan of action I’ve outlined will allow us to do so prudently – by protecting the “crown jewels” of U.S. technology while putting in place the programs and capabilities and processes to build partnership in the 21st century.

But only some of this is within the control of the executive branch. Congress too must also take action – and we will work with them to do so.

Speaking of Congress, the strategy I have outlined cannot succeed without their stable and consistent support.

One of the greatest dangers to national security today is the partisan gridlock that too often fails to address the problems facing this nation. I came to Washington over 40 years ago and in part of a different generation. When I first went to the Senate as a legislative assistant, there were bold leaders like Senators Mansfield, Aiken, Russell, Javits, Jackson, Fulbright, Dirksen and others. Republicans and Democrats who were willing to work together to meet our domestic and foreign challenges. Even when I was a member of Congress, I saw Speaker Tip O’Neill and Congressman Bob Michel work with Senators Bob Dole and George Mitchell to address budget, social security and foreign crises together.

Too often today, the nation’s problems are held hostage to the unwillingness to find consensus and compromise. And in the face of that gridlock, artificial devices like sequester are resorted to in order to force action. But in the absence of action – in the absence of action –sequester could very well threaten the very programs critical to our national security – both defense and domestic.

Any new defense strategy is dependent on new and innovative deployments, on diplomacy and on assistance, and it must rest on a reliable political system prepared to make decisions on behalf of our national security. That is a critical ingredient to the success of the partnership strategy I just outlined.

It is clear that even as we turn the page on a decade of war, the international security environment will remain complex and threatening. But as we look at each challenge we face, it is clear that wehave many allies and partners who share an interest in helping advance a common security vision, and that we are more secure when they are more capable of helping us.

Nearly fifty years ago, and more than a decade after he left government, Dean Acheson wrote an article called, and I quote, “The Practice of Partnership.” In the aftermath of the Cuban missile crisis, Acheson argued for a revitalized military strategy to counter Soviet expansionism. A key part of Acheson’s vision was for European allies to build up their conventional military forces, complemented by a strong U.S. force posture and nuclear deterrent. He saw a strengthened network of Alliances as the key to security and prosperity in his time.

What I described tonight are some of the broad outlines for what I’ve called building partnership in the 21st century. We must continue to map out a new path to build up the strength of our allies and partners around the globe, using both old and new tools. We must, and we will, remain the strongest military power on the face of the earth, but more than ever – more than ever – our strength depends on our ability to govern and to lead, and it depends on capable allies and partners willing to help shoulder the burden of global security. That is the key to preserving and protecting not just our national security but our democracy.

Thank you again for having me. God bless you and God bless the United States of America.